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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. I find certain ones better than others... ironically the HRRR snow maps usually aren’t as weenieish as that one. They are pretty good at only counting the change over to snow. But you still might waste a couple tenths on white rain or wet snow at the changeover.
  2. Yeah web cams at the ski area look like essentially rain... maybe white rain. Snowing up high... clumpy wet aggregates based on the texture. Almost 2” at 3,000ft.
  3. If only it was a bit colder. Some nice orographic precip going on this evening. SW flow standing wave pattern with the High Peaks in the Adirondacks causing that shadow through BTV. Still looks like it’s pretty mild through 1500ft.
  4. Yeah he’s definitely going to get low level help regardless of the mid-level banding. It’ll be interesting to see if it’s a burp or a Messenger shuffle. That death band went from N.NH at 12z to over Dryslot at 18z. That feature is going to be where the 15”+ happens IMO, wherever it ends up. I picture that as just a constant 30-40dbz ripping.
  5. 15" of 8:1 is going to be a bitch to shovel and snowblow. Lots of heart attacks coming Your bit of elevation there may make a difference too... be interesting to see if there’s a low level gradient to the snow there.
  6. Are you looking at Kuchara or something? BML went from 13.5” to 7.5”. That was a decent little shift. We went from 1.8” to 0.6” .
  7. Yeah the 24 hours left and they start slowly moving east a few miles at a time lol. It seems like 10 storms tick east for every 1 storm that ticks west in the final 24 hours.
  8. I can’t believe they still waste computing power on some of this stuff lol. Why would you still run the SREFS both NMB and ARW?!
  9. It’s just a joke on here from even 5+ years ago. Those ARW are without fail always the most jacked guidance a weenie can find.
  10. Nice dude, enjoy your first of many there. Cheers to that.
  11. Holy crap they still exist! And they haven’t changed one bit, that’s fooking hilarious.
  12. Good thing they still run the SREFS for the interior west crowd. I had no idea these were still out there.
  13. Aren’t we all? Ha. But yeah I think that’s a good range. Always want to leave yourself some room if for some reason it’s like 10-12” on 1.40” water for some reason with dense needles packed together... or it ticks eastward.
  14. Yeah we’ll see. Just my conservative nature in forecasting snow... high floor calls not my thing. He’ll probably have under 10” out in the open after the wind and a 8-foot drift off his garage or something anyway .
  15. Make the White Mountains white again. I’ll go 12-20” there (5-8” in your field, rest blown to RT 2 lol).
  16. We definitely need to work on this. You're in snow country now! Only melt when it's an extreme scenario of suck lol.
  17. This is the GFS clown map. Still looks great for the eastern half of NNE, we do get in a little on this one though in western NNE.
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