powderfreak

Some light snow, half inch coating? Nothing to get too excited about, ha. Radar looks like a shredded mess. We’ll see if we can get 2” today.

Ground white with 2-6” for long stretches of time is apparently deep. November seemed white but no where close to deep… and somehow that low ratio, but solid QPF, snow event followed by a ZR event has kept a snowpack and banks. All we want is a net gain from this current event. Priorities are low. We aren’t swimming in snow.

Here’s BTV’s…

Gotcha ha. I thought it’d be one image but guess that’s big if they include CAR too.

Do they not include their NH zones?

00z HRRR went far north with a very blocked flow and snowfall upstream of barriers. It does make sense if it stays north and a bit more mild. The cold air advection in the lowest levels quickly deep into the western sides of barriers, aided by topographic slowing/convergence/lifting, can certainly favor those west of both of us. Depends on when the cold air gets situated. Pre-event CAA we are good on more eastern orientation… later in the event with shallow surface cold hitting first, anything northwest is best.

Yeah this is more of a boundary sags south, then stalls, as another shortwave rides the gradient. Not a true anafrontal situation for the jackpot zone (wherever it might be)… it looks to turn to snow for some latitude before the second energy moves through.

During one of the bursts of snow this afternoon... nice to see even if only a coating to an inch.

18z HRRR looked better too. Just another variation.

Heavy graupel and giant flakes.

Got some light snow and dippin dots falling at 1500ft. Mid-30s.

Every single business from here to Burlington is hiring. Every one. Ha.

There was a great article on the overall economy/service industry I had read that was showing another form of inflation is folks are charged the same prices but the service everywhere has declined across the board. Your money doesn’t buy the experience it used to. It’s not counted in inflation calculations but it’s there. Even 4-5 star hotels won’t give you daily housekeeping anymore…just don’t have the staff but they charge the same.

That 12z HRRR moved south and nicks us now.

6z Euro is real cold for Sunday. GFS and NAM tickled warmer.

Yeah I have no idea on the ICON scores but the NAM and GFS shifts were noticeable too. Might be able to score a net gain out of the cutter.

The GFS, NAM and ICON all made substantial shifts south. This is a bit more interesting. The ICON though, I've never seen a model do such a shift in 6 hours. 12z first, 18z second image.

Yeah that’s a good jump south.

Foliage looks delayed.

Very little snow into later January. Folks melting down. Futility talk. Then the best winter on record occurs after January 25th for many of the forum. Way too early to worry. You get a big month and all is well.

They’ve had the better side of the last two weeks though. The CAD crew seems more wintry in terms of frozen or freezing QPF.

It hasn't been great, but it's been white a lot of the time except for a couple days prior to the dense snow, 8:1 ratio type event on the 18th that laid down some decent frozen water/QPF for most in NNE. It's been nickel and dime since then but big difference in vibe with at least snow on the ground. Its been a slow start but it should snow at some point. Still have 3 full months worth of potential and I'm sure the longer it stays meh, the more likely it is that it snows a bunch in April or something. Forgot how rough last winter was around this time. Really only one good warning event away from normal snowpack at the summits too. Average isn't as high as we sometimes think it is for this time of year, ha.

Love the assumption in that statement that the pessimists are the correct ones.