powderfreak

I mean the Narcan maps should still be great with 1-2” QPF, no? Eastern Mass still gets a bomb there if it’s worst case scenario.

Skimpflation. Experiences diminish and you pay the same money for them. Read through this and it’s 100% true. https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2021/10/26/1048892388/meet-skimpflation-a-reason-inflation-is-worse-than-the-government-says-it-is

Man you touched a nerve there, that was wild lol.

Just over an inch of snow at all elevations at the mountain. Surprised to find the same amount at 1500ft as 3000ft+. Light flurries and radar shows a bit more moisture working in.

If it snows big, you will win every time. Congrats dude. Wish I could head to Woodstock.

It’s been a big NE hit since day 1, true.

Absolutely… this looks like a historic one. What a loop. Should be real fun to watch unfold.

This panel is absolutely bonkers. 967mb.

I was just thinking of that storm! "Nemo" I think it was called by TWC. That thing had that band of like 30-40+dbz in CT that included graupel and rimed convective stuff in 0.25"/hr bucket rates. Just monster lift.

That is absolutely nuts. What a crush job! Ha, that wall of 0.75"+ QPF in 6-hours. It'll be an absolute wall of choking precipitation.

The low is too far east when it hits the right latitude and not enough moisture in the low levels with the arctic air mass advecting in behind it. Some windy light snows maybe but right now not going to be anything worth noting. She just escaped too far east. Should be a great storm to watch unfold though for the eastern areas near the coast.

8-days and every single day is a high of 64-71F and a low of 46-50F. Seems like a challenge. "Hey Bob, want to do two clouds or one today on the icons?"

See I often thought the low level flow under those bands was NNW despite the band itself going ENE to WSW. I always like a mid-level band radar signature just to my immediate NW. Put me on the southeast boundary of the echoes from that wind in the lowest 5,000ft. We are really nitpicking now though .

Great insight! I know there has to be more happening… that ageostrophic turning likely makes a more pronounced sinking motion just beyond it too, no? I can imagine that happening in low level lift while a deeper level wave forms over top maybe. I always try to envision the air flow fluidly to explain maxes and mins and why they end up where they do. A side effect of living in orographic land.

See I think that’s more pure terrain downslope. Anyway, like @Damage In Tollandmentioned that March 2014 event is an extreme example of a standing wave inland beyond the coastal plain speed convergence and/or coastal front.

Yeah some of that as well (if you are seeing background sinking air and then adding a little oomph in the lowest levels, it can’t help, ha)..,but the delta in the terrain isn’t *that* much. I just picture this massive pile up of air onto land and strong rising motion, then beyond that you have a tendency to see persistent sinking air… which occasional banding and other lift can compensate but if you get stuck in a slow moving system with that standing wave, it could be hard to break out of it.

I’ve always thought that RI and parts of SE CT can be in a bit of a hole from the massive amount of on-shore convergence and lift in SE Mass. Speed convergence from sea to land, coastal front, just massive pile up of air that rises in SE Mass and then a sinking air couplet past that lift into RI or even adjacent CT. Almost like a mini-standing wave like you’d see in orographics. Not saying it happens always or whatever, but in a fluid atmosphere one can envision that sort of monster low level lift in SE Mass having a ying to its yang downstream. Then further west of that you get into mid-level lifting/banding.

This is wild from 12km to 3km both run at 18z. Good luck Mets with that spread.

Ha, it’s like my black lab when she hears the cheese drawer in the fridge… “did someone say amped?” and ears perk up.

-26F for a low and a bunch of idiot lights on my SUV dashboard lol. Machines don’t like this very much apparently.

In 8 more EURO runs the snow should be reaching the south coast. Only 8 more runs to go .

6z EURO for the Queens.

Island Pond, VT at -34F so far is about the coldest I can find for Vermont. Some of the COOPs up there in NEK might have dipped near there but will need to wait for the morning Coop report.

Now that’s cold.

No, been lulled by too many mild winter months the past few years ha. “It never gets cold anymore.”