powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Doesn’t really look like a convection robbing moisture synoptic set up does it? The SE to E deep layer flow… usually convection disrupting moisture transport seems more like SW to S flow or am I making that up?
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Thread reads like some folks are trusting the latest model guidance over their own internal fears or hopes. Models were what they were. In winter if you had Euro/GFS, would you be tossing them to ride the GGEM? Aside from Stein tea-bagging you for three months, is there a lot of modeled reasons to go with straight miss? 84 hour NAM looks like it would hit too.
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I want to see this version of DIT in December. Caution flags being thrown left and right on every modeled snower.
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That would get the job done in SNE.
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Their calling card is the sturdy, flat armrests that are perfect for resting beverages on.
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That’s the shot. Sick.
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Mother Nature has a sense of humor… or maybe it’s NCEP that does.
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Imagine not having water for your family to drink, cook with, bathe with, flush toilets, etc all because you wanted to look at green grass. That would be a tough spot to be in. Responsible decision to let the lawn go.
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Today it hit me too. I think it’s the cloud cover, cooler temps and mostly the sunlight. I love May/June/July for the daylight. My body responds more to that time frame mentally, no matter what my weather desires are. I also love May because you know you’ve got months of high-end daylight. If it wasn’t for skiing, I’m not sure how I’d do winters these days. The darkness, dreary days, etc. It hits me differently in my mid-30s vs when I was in college, ha. At least skiing keeps me sane.
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30 degrees lower where I am right now lol. The wide range of weather in New England, something for everyone…. except rain I guess.
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Lot of hikers today on the hill, one of the busier ones in a while. Great weather for staying cool doing non-water activities. But yeah, it’s September air while @kdxken’s 84/40s sounds about perfect.
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64F at 3:30pm at 1500ft base of the mountain. MVL at 66F at 750ft. Picnic tables 49-51F all afternoon. Fall vibes. Afternoon temps being below most of last week’s dew points .
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August is bonkers in VT. I’d assume it’s every tourist place from mountains to beach. August is like the week-long family vacation time it seems before going back to school.
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63/52 at 10:30am. Like a breath of fresh air that actually feels fresh outside. Doesn’t feel like you are breathing through a wet towel.
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48/46 Lets goooo.
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64/63 at 10:20pm. 64/55 at 11:00pm. That dew point drop is very noticeable and leads to doors/windows open. Love the au natural air.
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Ahh, convection season in New England?
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Highs 65-75F tomorrow in the North should feel good though.
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Front came through this afternoon but still elevated dews. Its 64/63 currently. Got 0.11” from the front today.
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He will be worried any potential rain will be too far north/south/east/west until it’s actually happening and even then might not believe it. Stein has a choke hold. Cant say I blame him, persistence forecasting .
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Just busting your balls. But no doubt we may see some folks who were begging for even a tenth or quarter inch of rain a week ago, feel like they’ve been “Steined” with *only* an inch of rain if other areas get three. Everything in weather on here seems relative to other areas… beg for even 0.1” one day, be disappointed with 1.0” the next, all because we know someone else got more. As a forum it seems like we may have even more of a jackpot fetish in summer than in winter .
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Now we will see the posts where anyone who doesn’t jackpot was Steined. 2” vs 4”? Stein. lol
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You wonder if this is going to be more common… it feels like we never talked about drought on the forums until like the last 5-10 years. Now it’s like a summer staple.
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I could see it. The 06z GFS was sort of like that. It’ll depend on the mid/upper level low. We do see it go both ways sometimes. Could pour in SNE into Dendrite and up the foothills of Maine. Could also blast a warm front through us all and boundary stalls with flooding from like PA through Binghamton and into NNY if it’s super occluded. In the winter those are the systems where Utica gets like 30” while warm sector is into Maine. At the very least, it’s some synoptic weather to follow.
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To be honest when they go west we don’t even really get it up here. It’s more like PA/NY. SE flow really isn’t our thing, it’s either Adirondacks down through Catskills…or Whites down through Dendrite and SNE.
