powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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.4” is a legit dusting ha. Microclimate.
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Yeah I’m thinking here or a little bit south towards like MPV-Sugarbush zone. Models have been pretty consistent with some fronto-banding somewhere arcing from N/C VT into NNH. Just depends where and how robust. Sometimes it not a bad thing to be a little further north if mid-level banding realizes a bit north. NE in VT into Coos County probably a bit better for later development? Doesnt matter… just get the ground white for the first time this year. -
Yeah I noticed that too and there was some dipping dots in the grass this morning.
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Oh Euro. You and the GGEM.
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I like the BTV forecast… 2-5” lower elevations below 1000-1500ft and 6-10” mountains. Seems about right for now.
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30F and breezy with some renegade flakes flying in the flood lights. Wind chill in the teens? What a change from 72F at 5am in the last week. Picnic tables down in the mid-teens now. Should not be noteworthy in mid-November but here we are, ha.
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Nothing more on-brand than the NAM reminding everyone cheering at a colder surface that Mother Nature can still find other ways to end your fun . Its been very consistent showing sleety profiles lifting north.
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I would imagine the stronger surface would help with NE surface flow there as the low trajectory is more east than north tracking? Stronger that gets and moving east I’d think you’d drain cold in faster. As it goes over the canal you are strengthening NE surface winds.
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Tick tick. I thought it went more NW with the SFC . Love the nitpicking we do. 12z then 18z… 12z missed the Cape all together.
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Low got stronger and even ticked north from 12z, tracking over the Cape Cod bridge, and the result seemed to be a bit more compact and cold on the north side. Probably the hope is to get it as strong/dynamic as possible for those borderline thermals?
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18z Euro goes bonkers with the mid-level fronto forcing in S/C VT on NE.
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Feels like being a child again lol. You know the power of snow… makes men drive hours and hole up in shady motels in the middle of nowhere just for the taste. It’s a sickness.
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Finally some legit -SN in town. Good sized flakes. First of the season.
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First legit snow shower in Stowe Village of the season. Always makes you feel like a kid seeing it in your backyard that first time.
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She’s 7.5 now, got a reconstructed knee this summer and back to 100%.
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She likes this duff .
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There it is. 2500ft all flakes.
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Went over to frozen just now around 2200ft. We’ll see higher up.
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Yup that’s exactly what I’ve been thinking. If there was more cold or a bit more resistance, this no doubt would lean SE… but the air is rather marginal so it’s hard to say it can’t amplify a bit more into the warmth.
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Leads to big fake cold afterward
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Yeah trends are good at this point. Some of the longer range models had this as a rainer so probably some chance for it to amp up. GGEM was pretty similar to NAM/ECM. Worth watching for sure.
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12z NAM is all jacked up on Wednesday. 6z EURO was looking nice too, not quite as amped.
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Now we all know that you can survive without heavy jackets if the temp drops below 65F in the summer.
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I like the Bretton Woods area to be honest... models are showing it but I think the setup fits. Diane and Alex, on the WNW slope of MWN and the local topography. Elevations of 1,500ft as the valley floor in the basin to the NW of the Presidentials. That is the snow zone in the next 5 days to be honest. The low level NW winds, underneath moisture advection from the south, east, northeast. Upslope flow and CAA, while synoptic moisture is present aloft... it should snow in that zone.
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Oh interesting, I didn't see many runs (even long range) bringing synoptic snows down south of the Pike but I definitely might have missed them. I thought they had some flakes but nothing that some squalls couldn't accomplish either.
