powderfreak

Ha, yeah I was saying that tongue in cheek. Once that disappears from the model in a run, it’s not coming back .

Just remember, models often lose the big ones quickly, only to bring them back as we get closer. Just say that for the next 35 of those 45 runs.

Healthy water event for the Champlain Valley and into the Spine. East of the crest was a general 1.00-2.00" with 2.00-4.50" in the CPV and west slopes. BTV airport ASOS with ~2.5". Charlotte, Hinesburg, Williston, Richmond, Jericho, Underhill swath seemed to jackpot. Charlotte and the southern Lake Champlain basin on the Vermont side has had a very wet summer. Locally towards the center of Stowe... 1.25-1.75" on PWS and I'll wait till morning to empty the stratus overflow. Gradient event from west to east as the upper level energy pivoted through.

A lot of rain for the western slopes, BTV area, suburbs... into the Spine. Less on the east side. 1,500ft ski area base over 2"... down to 1.30" in town but increasing? Stratus is over-flowing and I won't drain until morning so who knows. Still raining but should end within the hour for mid-level dry slot... and then the NW cyclonic flow much lighter QPF stuff should move through tomorrow morning?

That’s what’s concerning about being +3.0 up here .

Yeah next article is: List of Russian municipal deputies who have recently died by slip, trip or fall grows to nearly 50, local official says.

BTV at only +1.0 but MVL here at +3.0. We get crushed with positive departures in radiational cooling land this time of year if the temp isn’t crashing solidly into the 40s every night. I would guess the better the radiational cooling baked into climo, the warmer the departures at those spots this month?

Some big rain today in the BTV suburbs. Lots of 3”+ amounts and still raining. 2.32” at the ASOS and counting. Sounds like a lot of urban style flooding from overwhelmed or blocked storm drains.

lol that post sounded like he missed it all. What is considered “Stein” has come quite a long way in the past 7-10 days. No rain for 3+ weeks, to only a half inch in a day.

Full on summer to winter, just like that. GFS agreed as Scoots pointed out. That would be one helluva cold pool for late September.

And you already giving thanks that rain missed you? That happened fast. Also love that you’ve set a date at end of the week for the winter butterfly to emerge from its cocoon .

There are a lot of 2-3”+ amounts now in Chittenden County… Williston, Richmond, Jericho areas. Just hammering rainfall.

About a half inch soak so far today. Should get another round within the hour. Cool temps but very humid. BTV up to 1.84” so far.

The daylight is very noticeable. Crazy to think it’s like late March solar right now. I love that time of year when it’s lengthening noticeably… not sure I like the going dark process as much. 66/64 at 9pm on September 12th seems warm. Humid evening, not going to lie, I’ve got the AC thermostat on dry mode. The temp is fine but it’s not crisp or Chamber in any way.

All I can think of is DIT saying no way until November while reading the AFD… && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...<snip> What is clear is that temperatures will be running 10 degrees or so below seasonal averages necessitating the need for a jacket or wind barrier for this forecaster Thursday and Friday. Highs will be in the low/mid 60s with upper 30s to mid 40s for overnight lows.

September and October are great months. Upper mountain leaves are going yellow. Usually not much color up high as they go yellow/brownish orange and fall off first… mid-slope and down is where the real color happens in a couple weeks. But fall vibes despite the warmth up here. The sun angle just isn’t there anymore.

Need more of those, ha.

81/59 Normal summer fare rolls on.

Warmer up north today… this year has certainly been exciting, ha. When it’s interesting that CAR-BML-BTV sees highs of 82-83F while SNE sees 70s… this year needs some damage.

Definitely a bit more humid feeling today with some cloud cover too. Despite clouds we hit 81F and dews have been hovering around 60F.

It’s fascinating and sad at the same time.

Sweet sunset this evening over Bolton Mountain (which is actually north of the Bolton Valley ski area). Trapp Family Lodge is the property on the hillside bench in the foreground at 1,500ft. Shot from the center of Stowe which is between two larger ridge lines. This is the west side view. Got up to 84F today at MVL (same elevation as where this photo was taken from). Normal is 73/48. Well above average.

Low 80s here, dews upper 50s. March 31st sun angle.

Orange moon.

The moon is bonkers. Bright red.