powderfreak

Maybe 0.15” storm total. Grass only needs to be cut once this week I guess.

Was at a music event at the Trapp Family Lodge meadow the other night and it looked exactly how you would think… Sound of Music, kids frolicking, half expected a Sheppard to wander out with a flock. 10 kids following a woman dancing through the property.

Haha I actually laughed out loud at that one, nice. I’ve only had 0.10” out of this whole thing so far. But man, feel that between your toes. Thick.

Has that strong acute convergence look on radar. Something local scale but like a standing wave. Terrain or ocean based. I love how the radar is only 2,000ft off the ground for a sample there… I’m so used to operating at high elevation scans, it’s impressive seeing 3 hours of 30-40dbz efficiency in lowest levels.

Just watched the whole radar loop since 6pm and it’s pretty impressive. Love that stuff. I don’t know how big one or two pixels are (a mile?) but rainfall does vary quite a bit locally on that product. Big area of 2-4” pixels but narrow corridor of 5-7”. Probably never know for sure the max amount depending on station locations… but that’s a large footprint overall of heavy rain.

Any truth to these radar estimates? Wild values.

You know grass way better than I do, but has that ship sailed for this summer? If you got like 4” soaked into the ground in 1-2 weeks would it come back, or is it a try again next year type of thing?

I get the competitive side to it too, it’s the problem with knowing what happened elsewhere. In a vacuum without outside knowledge you had a great soaking today. I’ll try to see what my dad’s crude garden gage had in Woodstock. I think yours today was as much if not more than the mythical Stowe fields have had this week despite it raining on 4 different days. Yesterday was only like 0.20”, nothing today.

What were your expectations today? You said 0.25-0.50” and got like 3/4ths of an inch. How does that lead to disappointment? I don’t get it. You wanted it to rain, it rained. Today is a win, enjoy it!

Man this place is a trip. Every day hearing about how it doesn’t rain from some folks, please just rain, anything…then it does exactly what they want (rain!) and the minute they find out some other area got more it’s back to woe-is-me.

Ha it did read a bit like “I was lucky but also unlucky.” Modeling takes it all into account. They are short duration heavy rainers just scatter shot across the area.

Sounds like a well needed drink. Modeling was fairly decent all things considered with convection and the variability it seemed.

Meteorology for the win? The back and forth from two hours ago is even funnier now.

If anyone “deserves” it… you do. Nice. Edit: Lol see you weren’t done there. There’s a month of rain.

There is something satisfying about seeing the models and Mets beat the emotional crew’s fear forecasting.

What’s all the stuff on OKX radar south and east of Long Island?

To associate the above media with real obs, this downpour put down 0.23” at my station… less than I expected, as radar pegged 0.50+ as possible. Never large amounts, but frequent watering.

I’m heading down at the end of the month and Labor Day Weekend, will be interesting to see the water level at the dam. The old railroad track berm was almost all exposed across the entire body of water in July, can’t imagine now.

Jim! Haven’t heard from him in a while. He was a poster on the forums back in the day. Amazing photographer around the MWN area back when he would post. I think he was a Mt Washington forecaster for the observatory back then?

It’s convection is what I think. Someone gets 1-3” and someone gets a quarter inch. Haven’t looked at it to be honest. Had some damage with that storm in town, heading home there’s some trees and wires down. You know it’s Stowe because it’s Mass and NY plates, ha.

You know as I think about it, maybe trying to find the lack of rain is consistent with trying to find the most exciting weather/damage. There is a vibe on here at times where it feels like folks are sort of rooting for dry because it’s more interesting. A half inch of rain per week right now is like getting a 2.4” and a 3.8” snowfalls that melt immediately but ruins futility….everything is dead already, fires burning, everyone “worked so hard” for it, might as well secretly hope it continues and see how damaging it can get?

Stein has you beaten down. I can’t imagine you asking Will or Scooter this hypothetical in a winter storm. You usually are wondering where the jackpot zone might be and how much. Or where the highest wind damage will be… never wondering where the least damage might be.

I know most will be happy to hear the daily Stowe rains are here. Bone dry on the mountain but huge downpour for the village, and I’ve seen several cloud to ground bolts to the valley floor. Doesn’t even rain on the mountain anymore, only to keep the village grass as green as possible.

There’s no way those charts with hours of dews would support a humid summer (at least relative to normal). I don’t know where one finds those but entering like mid-July they were bottom barrel for high dews. Second half of July definitely helped with hours above 65F dews. No mixing out up here. Looks like most away from the ocean are seeing dews in the 50s down in Mass now. We know FIT is too low, but mid-50s. Up this way it’s more humid and can see the moisture pooling NW in the St Lawrence River Valley towards Montreal.

Interesting. Yesterday was our driest with dews hitting the 40s like BOS on Friday.