powderfreak

The p-type maps seem to mirror 925mb temps on WxBell. Large area of 0C that then crashes SE.

Yeah lower the ratios. It’s a 10:1 map. Do the math on 7:1 or average 5-6:1 going to 10:1 late.

Thats how it was able to snow at least some up here, ha.

EPS snow probabilities are decidedly less hugger than the Op though. More classic nor’easter snow distribution.

Ski Country from Adirondacks to Sugarloaf could work with this.

12z vs 18z 18z

If low is modeled northwest = more of the same, lots of rain, we know it’s right, congrats Dendrite, useless winter. If low is modeled far southeast = yup, a whiff, no surprise, what a useless storm, onto next winter. If low is modeled perfect and shows crushing snowstorm = never going to happen, it’s days away, it’s laughable some of you even entertain this solution.

I think it gets too blocked up tonight and tomorrow. Smuggs should do best but it’ll stay fresh on the east side too. Windier on east side as well, reducing accumulation (less loft to the flakes).

Periods of snow, heavy at times at the hill in upslope flow. Good 3-4” so far today at the ski area. This winter is trying hard to redeem itself. A lot of -SN obs out there. Looks like locally been running 1-3sm in -SN all day. KMVL 071854Z AUTO 34011KT 310V010 1SM -SN SCT017 BKN024 OVC030 M04/M08 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP124 P0000 T10441078

It’s just the way you talk about it to be honest. If it doesn’t show what you want you get very negative on the Euro. It certainly gives the feeling that your not interested in what it shows and at the same time annoys you that some folks might give it some credit.

Would help this winter’s status…unlikely outcome (as any) but fun to look at.

There has been over 5 feet of snow depth on Mount Mansfield for the first time since April 2020. Despite some lackluster periods this winter (to say the least), having the deepest snow depths in 3 years is a little bit of a rebound closer to normal. It's been a mini-streak of below normal snowpack up here. This isn't amazing. It is average; within 1 SD of the mean depth is average IMO.

Almost everyone has dreamed of those types of public transportation. It would be the sweetest thing... a loading terminal and then just a ride above the ground over a series of miles... what an attraction on its own, ha. The nightmare on these types of things during off hours is an evacuation needed or significant delays due to an issue that might require several people to fix. Need good on-call protocols that have a high number of staff/rescue personnel to evac a gondola in general, much less at 10pm or something like that Telluride to Mtn Village gondola. I can only dream of a lift like that around here. It would be a game changer, however impossible it is. Maybe in 50 years someone tries it. Things change quickly sometimes over time.

The snow depth of this drift and snowpack at Mammoth is wild. They’ll be skiing in August up there. Know they make July sometimes, but this has to take a long time to melt if that’s the snow on the lower mountain. The snow is as high as the chairlift, which is why it’s plowed away. Skiing through a groomed channel.

From an operational standpoint that’s awesome. It seems simple but running a gondola until 2am takes a well-oiled operation. That’s some awesome public transportation.

Nice day despite some gusty winds. Bluebird, chalky packed powder, some wind scour and some drifted dense between bumps in spots. But generally, just nice chalky packed powder.

Yeah snow mean jumped a bit from 12z for sure. 12z 18z

Grew up at Gore, always have a special spot in my heart. It’s a good Mtn on its own too. They get crushed in SE flow.

Today was surprisingly very windy. Spruce had a wind hold, other lifts running on reduced speed most of the day. FourRunner Quad eventually succumbed to wind at like 2pm. It was rocking pretty good on the chairs when I went out at 10am… but running it slow kept it operating.

Not bad.

It’s just too variable to truly know, especially by mid-March. Give it another couple weeks and north facing could be same depth as now while south is gone. Around here we also are on the river bottom which seems to be deeper snow from mid-winter torches holding fake cold in. So many mesoscale features going on… but super hard to put 1 number on it. I still think the best is to report what you have. That’s how you build consistency in records too. It is what it is… but some folks take it seriously if they feel a local number isn’t representing what they have too .

There’s a place down the street from me, perfectly square yard, fenced in, but just has the right hilltop behind it that it gets shade very fast in the afternoon… snow is never disturbed there and he will have a solid foot when my yard is melting out. If he put a stake in the middle of his yard there it would melt almost like two weeks later… it’s incredible. He’s probably got 25-30” on ground now. Seems to be a cold pool spot too in torches between huge white pines and the hill behind him. Snow just doesn’t melt there.

Yeah I know Phin had mentioned that in previous seasons too as his open field is largely south facing... having like 3 feet behind the house while his south facing open field is getting torched. From that photo the other day it looked like his depth stake was probably on the opposite side on the north end. He'll probably start to develop a decent gradient but probably already has to be honest. Gene too with his south facing field.

After the storm I measured the snowpack in my yard. South facing was 17” and north side was 25”. Big difference was developing prior to this storm and should continue. The sunny days and mid-30s seem to do a number on the southern stuff. Already noticed yesterday the ground starting to show on steep south road cuts again, while the ground levels out there’s 18”+.