powderfreak

Up at the picnic tables now, shorts and t-shirt. Near 60F, another record high (maybe the 3-4th this week?). Hair dryer south wind. Hope everyone is enjoying it outside. Hard to make snow right now.

Congrats. All-Time November max temp back to 1882. Never been higher in 140 years.

Yeah wasn't complaining, just musing. We can't control it so just go with the flow and enjoy whatever comes. Been a great weekend to be honest.

It's wild that the picnic tables had their first snow of an inch or two back on October 8th... and then will go a month+ without seeing snow again this time of year, ha.

I'm getting there, ha. The last several cycles of the GFS have been pretty consistent in that trough moving in at day 7 (next Sunday) not being just a transient in/out. I want to keep seeing that not being modeled as a 72-hour shot followed by moderating again. For the ski areas the key will be sustaining that cold through that following week. The trough seems fairly high-confidence now... but if 850s can stay below 0C for that entire week that's a bit difference from just cold then lift out.

Yeah it looks to flip hard. Op model guidance has a few more widespread wintry threats. Almost some SWFE sliders in there too.

Dude! Look at MVL. 71F at 3:54am. Thats like the average June max temp. We set a whole bunch of hourly Nov temp records last night.

It is wild how much of a summer night it feels like outside. Love anomalous weather.

Beer? lol The heat must be getting to me.

70F with a warm breeze. Friday night in November and all the restaurant patios and decks are busy in town. Nothing like comfortably eating outside on a nice summer evening in Stowe, VT.

Good lord. That has more snow than some on here will see in a season in those grids. 15-27” first round before 12-20” comes early week followed by two more periods of heavy snow.

Not to prolong this but I didn’t see one denier that temperatures are rising? Even Wolfie said we are in a warming period, no?

Give us pow Dec 1 till April 1. Every year I like frigid cold less and less though. Just give me 32F for 4 months lol. Going forward, we’ll have to watch if this initial cold shot is really more of a 72 hour blast of good snowmaking but then we turn it off again for a bit. Again I’m always more conservative this time of year, Mtn Ops doesn’t want rosy glasses outlooks right now and it definitely leans me to throwing caution flags. I’m more looking for what can go wrong than what can go right, which is tough for me as that’s not my personality haha.

From BTV. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 315 PM EDT Saturday...It`s been a record warm day across the North Country and Vermont with several climate stations breaking high max AND high min temperatures for the calendar day. We`ll have a breakdown of that later in a record report once the day ends.

Some forum members will tell you to instead leave it on in your garage and they’ll come over to inhale if it’s in the 70s again next weekend .

Yup it’s the phrasing of it. If someone is like “hey, all these warm records seem to be a good indication that we are in a warming period of our natural environmental system” people do not respond the same as if it’s said otherwise. That evokes a different reaction than the phrase “climate change.” Which has this insinuation that we need to take action. Even in your post it brought about the word “ugly”… it’s such a loaded phrase . Nothing ugly about today. Call it a global warm period, lol.

Warm records though vastly outnumber cold records. I think the issue is it’s a) become political and b) people are tired of hearing it because it triggers a secondary “why” or “what does it mean” aspect. People also bring it up in a manner that annoys folks. We are undoubtably getting warmer, we don’t have to argue about the why or what it means… but it is what it is. We can still set cold records, but it gets warm a lot easier and it continues to be so. It is what it is, doesn’t have to make anyone mad, upset, sad, happy… it can just be.

Yeah that’s exactly the side of MWN you’d want to be on in that CAA scenario. GFS has had that deep trough moving in around the 11/12-14 time frame but last several runs are more transient with the cold…. It’s back to a more zonal flow late in the run.

73F… 10 days in June were colder than today. June average high was 74F. So we’ve got a nice June climo day out there.

Ha I thought he was joking… as in the bathroom fan runs 24/7 per my wife’s code.

Tonight looks exceptionally warm up north.... highest 850mb temps rotate up and over the top.

The bolded I noticed this morning too! The road was all wet in spots but no rain. Thought that was real interesting.

70F up here too at MVL. 70F also at BTV, and BML. Widespread.

Dropped into the 40s around midnight but holy shit, then rose… 64F at 3:20am at MVL on November 5th! Thats obscene… once in a lifetime stuff? Higher than any summer climo to be 64F middle of the night.

Major Combination Sleet/Ice/North Country Snow Storm April 3-5 Thursday-Saturday, 2003 Never before in April, at least since records have been kept at Albany dating back to 1874, has there been an ice storm of the magnitude of the event that occurred from April 3rd to the 5th. It was a historical combination of snow, sleet, and significant accumulations of ice that brought down thousands of trees, limbs, and power lines throughout the Mohawk Valley, Capital Region, and northern Berkshire County over an extended period of time. Ice covered roads contributed to hundreds of automobile accidents Thursday night through Saturday morning. 275 schools closed Friday morning due to the extremely hazardous travel conditions.