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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    It wants to print 10" in 3 hours just west of Scooter.
  2. powderfreak
    Goes bonkers over E.MA. Oddly sort of skips over the middle ground between the early push west and then the east CCB.
  3. powderfreak
    Snow through 12z tomorrow:
  4. powderfreak
    Full on torch there on 18z NAM. 850mb line goes NW of Kev in Tolland.
  5. powderfreak
    I’d take an inch of QPF and run right now. Sign me up.
  6. powderfreak
    Been having light snow off and on most of today so far up this way.
  7. powderfreak
    German Beer model almost done.
  8. powderfreak
    She's warm.
  9. powderfreak
    You deserve it after CT Valley life. Enjoy this one.
  10. powderfreak
  11. powderfreak
    3km is a fire hose tonight.
  12. powderfreak
    Let's go. Back in it.
  13. powderfreak
    Not quite done yet.
  14. powderfreak
    Up and in.
  15. powderfreak
    Getting some good bumps up here lately. Most models now nearing 10”+.
  16. powderfreak
    Can see the surface temps right now. Wet bulbs will be cold enough. Upper 20s to mid 30s across New England.
  17. powderfreak
    You guys are glutton for punishment. Hard or unpleasant thoughts… eager to find fault. Both of you have the chance of a windy few inches of paste, with higher upside.
  18. powderfreak
    I can’t stop laughing at how true this is.
  19. powderfreak
    This is just a wave of moisture moving inland, thermals determine p-type. Big precipitation events are largely made up of atmospheric water going inland and then switching direction to the north and west, dragging that atmospheric water back out to sea.
  20. powderfreak
    The ensemble plot is only going to show the lowest pressure too. Given the shape of the ensemble mean surface pressure… it’s obvious there is a lot of spread. Prolonged easterly flow seems most likely to the north and west of the lows.
  21. powderfreak
    The models are signaling a strong elevation event for the interior hills. The lower elevations and coastal plain will depend on exact evolution and precip rates. Take 6-7:1 ratio in the lower elevation snow column, and 8-10:1 ratio in the higher elevation. Adjust map as needed.
  22. powderfreak
    Dude, so consistent there for you & company. Northern ORH County on each and every model run. The ratios also have an actual shot at 10:1 there too. East flow does upslope and leads to forced parcel ascent cooling there. Every few tenths of a degree of cooling will make a big difference in these marginal events. Low level air rising over you vs sinking over you, will define the event IMO.
  23. powderfreak
    Like the places in the Midwest that verify blizzard with no snow falling.
  24. powderfreak
    Terrible idea. Skip DDH and up into the hills like Woodford or eastern slopes.
  25. powderfreak
    And yet still care enough to be watching the thread all afternoon
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