powderfreak

Last night was stunning on the after work dog walk. It's the time of year where we now have to head down via headlamp with the shortening daylight. The trade off is hanging out up high at last light as the sky turns pastel colors and the alpenglow lights up the SW facing slopes red.

The upper SSE facing slopes of the Pesidentials (like the 3-5K spots at and above treeline) had to see more than a half a foot of water. It's topographical spot that would've condensed better than radar echoes showed.

He had a whole lot of friends on here right along with him for several months. It’s good to see the awakened folks realize it was futile. Mother Nature loves her averages… except if it has to do with cold . But moisture, it’ll even out.

Best $40 a weenie can spend. https://www.amazon.com/Stratus-Precision-Mounting-Bracket-Weather/dp/B000X3KTHS

Models showing widespread 2”+ amounts possible seemed to do another good job at signaling region wide heavy rainer. Obviously there were less and more in different areas but tomorrow AM’s 48-hour totals should show a pretty large amount of 2”+ totals from NY all the way to the coast. Models have seemed to be doing pretty well the last 6 weeks signaling the heavy precip events.

He probably got blasted by south winds early on too. The Cocorahs station there had like 2.70” through 7am. Probably at least another 1.50” today?

Yeah there’s likely some of that with the decent wind flow and high PWATs… but the highest totals being on both the east (Waterbury, Stowe, Morrisville, et) and west slopes (Underhill to Montgomery) makes me think the boundary just stalled and waffled in this area too. Or the flow was just right in a critical Froude number to evenly distribute rainfall on both sides of the barrier. Last night on radar the line of convection sort of stalled and then got run over by slug after slug of moisture training over it. It almost went east of here but then backed up westward again into the Spine. Always some orographics in play but I think synoptically it was just where than boundary stalled. It’s still over the region now as that meso-low moves up in E. NE. It’s finally moving east again as the low reaches our latitude and tugs it again. I feel like the Whites had a more orographically induced rainfall with that southerly flow jamming moisture into them.

Ha this was oddly weird. First time I have ever noticed this station reporting to Cocorahs. That's my general area NW of village center and my rain total at about the same time this morning. Looks like he's up Week's Hill Road a bit. J.Spin taking the VT top total so far at 2.67".

Emptied 2.55” and it’s still raining steadily. Good overflow catch. Base of the Ski Area automated station just pushed past 3.00".

Base of the ski area automated station just pushed 3.00”. Moisture train continues.

Emptied 2.55” and it’s still raining steadily. Good overflow catch.

I don’t think I’ve had more than two full inner tubes all at once in a long time. Not the storm total… just having it all in there for the morning pour. Certainly have been “storm totals” of 2+ but often over a couple empties. The timing lined up with this one.

I don’t think I’ve seen this much water in my Stratus in a long time. Will need to empty soon. Most local PWS are 2.25-2.75” since 6pm last night.

This afternoon walking the dog it was raining leaves. Like just emptying themselves onto the ground. From peak, to past peak, to bare in like a few days.

Classic Kev lol… a couple posts saying something semi-exciting might happen in E.Mass and he’s like “Hold my beer while I type, I’m getting in on this too.”

Yeah I was figuring it’d be more unstable right if the track. Better mixing. Tracking that over E.CT should rip in SE MA.

I’d assume if that meso low goes left of you, it’s time to scream some wind? HRRR and NAM want to take it up over CT to like ORH… would assume you get much better mixing east of that thing right?

We also watch Covered Bridges. It’s been wet since Sept 1 and with trees/vegetation shut down largely… 2-4” should run off fairly efficiently. Anyone who sees 4”+ in the hilly E.VT area with narrower valleys and force multipliers could get interesting.

That’s a widespread soaker on the 00z HRRR.

3-6” to start? Go higher if need be?

Almost at 40 range here. 31F to 70F now. MVL seems good today, 70F fits regional observations.

One of these troughs will produce eventually. Just going to see them swinging through. Sooner or later with deepening wave lengths something will slow down and create a more prolonged flow.

A ton of people talk about that. How their camera or iPhone doesn’t do the scene justice of what they are seeing. A lot of people get frustrated by it. Like “this tree is literally glowing red in front of me but then I take a shot with the phone and it looks so bland.”

What gets me on these days is the mean daily temperature will be lower in the valleys because the night is so cold. So even if the afternoon is 3-5F warmer, the night being 15F colder averages out to a colder diurnal mean.

Yeah I should've clarified too. People around here have always rented out their places for a couple/few weeks a year to cover their bills, taxes, etc. That totally makes sense. What I see is more on the Industrial level scale of renting. Our townhomes have people who own multiple units. They are in it solely for renting and their units are empty a few weeks a year instead of the other way around. Then by owning multiple units they control the HOA, etc. Next thing they are trying to get folks to pay for a heated pool because they control more HOA votes and heated pool goes better on their listings and charging more money. Many decisions made are not for the better quality of living necessarily but what works better on a VRBO listing. That's my personal druthers, ha ha. There are also corporations buying up property, homes, condos, townhomes, etc around here for rentals... so you know there will never be an actual owner living there at any point in time. I get cold calls personally from companies looking to buy my place, ha. To me the balance might be limiting the number of weeks you can rent a property? Something that tries to make sure it is actually someone's second home/vacation place and not owned solely to be a stand alone mini-hotel operation? I do like the positives you pointed out though. Its good to remind myself of that sometimes. We could live in the country with nothing around us but chose to live in Stowe because we also like seeing some humans, eating out, bars, restaurants, breweries, music, festivals, etc. That wide variety of food, drinks, breweries, etc that is often on par with small cities is all because the town is popular. Property values too... ours has tripled since buying in 2012. Not a bad investment. And 95% of the days in a calendar year are perfectly fine, normal days. So much of this rabble rousing is for under 5% of days annually. @bwt3650 you think very much like me, ha. I've always used the football stadium or concert analogy too! No matter what happens, if you go to say Foxboro on a Sunday for a Pats game. You are waiting in traffic. There's no way around it. You cannot have that volume of people arrive and leave at similar times and not wait. There may be capacity at the end of the road (the stadium) but the road itself will bottleneck hard. Even rush hour into or out of a city. The Mountain Road here is like I-93 into Boston but on a much smaller scale obviously. The office buildings all those people go to is like the chairlift capacity (it's there, it can handle it) but getting to that office building or chairlift is all via the same roads and thus, bumper to bumper traffic. Even during AIG days there were traffic problems. Maybe people want to pay $2200 and have traffic a half dozen days vs. paying much less and having it a dozen days instead? And in the grand scheme of things.... a 155 day operating season, trying to do some monster infrastructure project for what is maybe 8% of winter days, and like 2-3% of days out of an entire year... seems like a hard sell. No one is building a 3rd lane on RT 108 for such a low percentage of days out of the calendar once you really boil it down.