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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Simpson Hill Road in the Burke, VT area after another 3-4” yesterday.
  2. powderfreak
    I wouldn’t worry about it, doesn’t seem to rain there.
  3. powderfreak
    2.41” and 10.92” on the month. Just looking at CoCoRAHS there are a lot of stations showing 8-13” from CT through MA and into VT/NH (follow red dots). BTV area totals from this event.
  4. powderfreak
    2.40” and the guy a mile away is at 2.89”. So much water lately.
  5. powderfreak
    Updated.
  6. powderfreak
    Mudslide in Ripton VT near Middlebury from Friday night that destroyed a home.
  7. powderfreak
    That stuff south of Long Island looks like it’s pacing to run up and over you as the whole boundary slinks eastward. You are on pace for an 8-inch July right now. But I guess it’s more a jackpot fetish.
  8. powderfreak
    Sort of expect him to jackpot after all those posts.
  9. powderfreak
    This summer has had us come full circle. From denying any and all chances for weekend rain, looking for brighter patches of clouds as a sign of good weekend weather… to just full on let’s go rain all day every day.
  10. powderfreak
    Yeah I saw some pics and vid’s of flooding in Morrisville again. Looked like water was getting close to or even inside some apartments.
  11. powderfreak
    The volume of water that has fallen in the northeast this month is pretty crazy.
  12. powderfreak
    Flash Flood Warning just issued here. MVL ASOS over 2” now. Local PWS over 1.25”.
  13. powderfreak
    That’s hard to comprehend even if short duration burst.
  14. powderfreak
    Some knew it wouldn’t be over at daybreak.
  15. powderfreak
    Just shy of 0.70” rainfall so far. Water starting to pond in yards again.
  16. powderfreak
    Great analysis. Makes sense. That SE flow led to more widespread max lift, while the second image has the flow aligning with the boundary orientation. Leads to a more narrow max axis potential.
  17. powderfreak
    That in NYC would be interesting to say the least. Several zones of 2”+ from Canada to the South Coast showing the potential… but the consensus of a stripe of 4-8” seems to continue to aim from NYC area NE-ward into CT.
  18. powderfreak
    It’s funny how much our opinions are based on other regional observations and the jackpot zone. TAN is on pace for an 8-inch July based on rainfall through the first 14 days. Stein lol. But it’s true that ORH and BDL are on a 16-inch pace.
  19. powderfreak
    As we’ve seen several times across the northeast this past month, the atmosphere seems to want to drop big rain amounts. The water table region wide is very high, any of these events will cause big impacts. Active jet (great divergence aloft) and upper level energy with troughs continually interacting with this moisture rich air. High PWATS all the time now. How often do we see 5-10” rain amounts forecast? Seems like each event now. Wild stuff.
  20. powderfreak
    BDL had a lower relative humidity all afternoon than ORH. It was more arid despite higher dews. Since temps decrease faster than the dew with height, they become closer together and the RH increases with height. You are confusing RH with dew points. BDL at 90/72 is 56% RH (more arid). ORH at 82/68 is 62% (not as arid).
  21. powderfreak
    Wait what? You mean relative humidity? As surface pressure increases (lower elevation) the dew point should go up. How does higher elevations see higher dews?
  22. powderfreak
    Temp of 82F? Just doesn’t get hot there does it… can see why he loves the dews as it’s something that spot can excel at.
  23. powderfreak
    Ahhh the ol’ Golden Shower.
  24. powderfreak
    Bears seem to be thriving. See more of them than deer these days it seems.
  25. powderfreak
    Yes, the HRRR does show development after midnight, that’s true. It also shows it continuing into the afternoon.
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