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Everything posted by powderfreak
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See if that trailing cell can get in there or will it slink south.
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65/61 last observation at Middlebury but looks like wherever the airfield is out of the heavy rain. Only showing 0.32”. Up to 4.10” for local max and still going.
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Yeah radar just updated and every new scan is like another half inch. Up to 4” max now on radar. That area with the Otter Creek can get crushed in FF. It’s gotta be pretty solid with 2-4” in 90 minutes.
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Middlebury washing away
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DD… Dew Defender or Dock Donkey?
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Yeah hasn’t been super nice. Got 0.05” here, just enough to wet the ground really.
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75/60 Hoping we can survive this uncomfortableness.
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How do we not get this in January or February? Just deep ULL's digging into the lakes and translating eastward. Very little chance of suppression depression progged in the pattern 7-10 days out... just moisture streaming northward in front of the ULL; cool and crisp just west of the battle grown between the trough and rising heights to the east. 52F latest OB at MVL (51F latest PWS) currently this evening. B-Team radiator as HIE, BML, SLK have dipped into the upper 40s.
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You’re insufferable with this stuff in the summer . It’s like discussing favorite sports teams instead of the weather. Still have to get past the 10-12th or so on EPS and GEFS. There’s another 10 days or so before more wholesale changes start taking place. Probably a couple dewy days mixed in ahead of FROPAs until then… but then looks like heights rise along NE coast and Maritimes which gets us into a more consistently humid pattern.
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This looks more like the set-ups from July. Deeper trough, and ridging along the coast and maritimes. Much different than DIT's "identical" post yesterday that had lower heights stretched straight across the north. And not shockingly that upper level pattern is translating to +RN in the northeast at that time.
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Just remember there’s a difference between those who point out flaws in some of the analysis, and not thinking it will get humid again. Getting humid is very easy in this climate, it’s going to happen in August and September for periods of time.
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14.5" here. The big high-end VT flood event covered almost half of that. Even without that event, there was another 8+" of rainfall scattered about the month.
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Did get to the part of the summer where I started looking at some of the recent shots from previous seasons. Can't wait for that Spine crusher.
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That's a great lineup, pretty much covers it all. Doesn't the Beast 365 Pass at Killington include the IKON/Alterra mountains too? So you have basically covered all of the mountains in Vermont. And those combined passes all cost less than what just a single AIG Stowe pass used to cost, ha ha.
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It’s like in winter, have a huge January and everyone gets 30-60” of snow (July’s 10-24” rain), it’s cold and active pattern… folks start wanting to run it back in February. But there’s a brief break. Just a “couple days before it comes roaring back” it’s said, next thing we know it’s after a week… then 10-12 days we’ll get back into it… by mid-month for sure. Everyone would be bailing and in full panic if it was supposed to be a few day break in a pattern, that’s now 10-14 days.
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lol, a Great Lakes trough is great and all but it’s only one part of the puzzle. If it’s elongated across New England it’s not going to do anything close to how July went… with the GL trough encountering serious resistance from ridging in the maritimes that allowed for moist/humid air to stream well north over and over.
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That doesn’t look like an exact replica at all except for the fact that yes there is a trough across the north. We had higher than normal heights over the NE and into Maritimes. That look wouldn’t have given CAR is warmest July. @Damage In Tolland spot the differences… we were the battle ground in July, on the gradient. Not in the map you showed.
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Now this feels more like autumn. 66/45 with NW gusting 22mph under FEW skies. Summits struggling to get to 50F.
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46F will be the low it looks like.
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48F so far. SLK at 37F lol.
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July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
52F to close out the month. It’s got an autumn vibe this evening. I guess it really only feels like a September evening to start August, which is really about what a bit of troughing should be this time of year up here. 45 in SLK at 11pm is wild, should hit 30s. -
July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
My marketing and photography background can only envision the ideal Pleasantville scene perfectly. There’s a weather “type”, you know it when you see it. -
July has arrived ... the Meteorologically defined mid summer month
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s true. Today wasn‘t at COC levels in respect to the true meaning of the phrase. Chamber of Commerce is the weather you’d see on a town’s brochure or marketing collateral. Smiling faces walking around because they are so comfortable in such a nice environment, ha. Sky needs to be mostly sunny to small puffy Cu. Not all humidity driven. I’d even wager that COC for a beach or oceanside/coastal community should be more hot and humid than inland. Sunny warm/hot day is what they would use in a Chamber brochure there for a beachside vibe. -
Yeah I don’t think my parents place ever really hits 90F nor does it drop below 60F. It just loves to be humid and like 70-84F around the clock, little diurnal changes.
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Part of me thinks you just like high dews and say you don’t care about heat because it’s what your backyard does well. Heat is largely a fail, big diurnal swings are a fail, can’t mix out low RH, compressional warming or radiational cooling, but those elevated NE CT forests can crush the humid 12-degree diurnal swing between 70-82F with the best of them. That’s pretty much the Woodstock climo too. Temp just lives in that zone.