powderfreak

That looks like the screenshots him and DIT post from their PWS stations… same general layout.

Kind of crazy 3 of the top 4 have been within the past 15 years. Makes sense that now people think it’s a desert drought with Stein if they don’t get half a foot or more of rain a month.

I can’t remember more flood watches ever being issued. It’s basically a standing Flood Watch at this point. Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Dannemora, Ellenburg, Lake Placid, Newcomb, Port Henry, Ticonderoga, Alburgh, South Hero, St. Albans, Swanton, Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg, Burlington, Shelburne, Johnson, Stowe, Hardwick, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Waitsfield, Middlebury, Vergennes, Bradford, Randolph, Fair Haven, Rutland, Enosburg Falls, Richford, Richmond, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington, Bethel, Ludlow, Springfield, and White River Junction 355 PM EDT Mon Jul 17 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of northern New York, including Clinton and Essex Counties. Also for central and northern Vermont. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. Area creeks and streams are running high and could flood with more heavy rain.

Simpson Hill Road in the Burke, VT area after another 3-4” yesterday.

I wouldn’t worry about it, doesn’t seem to rain there.

2.41” and 10.92” on the month. Just looking at CoCoRAHS there are a lot of stations showing 8-13” from CT through MA and into VT/NH (follow red dots). BTV area totals from this event.

2.40” and the guy a mile away is at 2.89”. So much water lately.

Updated.

Mudslide in Ripton VT near Middlebury from Friday night that destroyed a home.

That stuff south of Long Island looks like it’s pacing to run up and over you as the whole boundary slinks eastward. You are on pace for an 8-inch July right now. But I guess it’s more a jackpot fetish.

Sort of expect him to jackpot after all those posts.

This summer has had us come full circle. From denying any and all chances for weekend rain, looking for brighter patches of clouds as a sign of good weekend weather… to just full on let’s go rain all day every day.

Yeah I saw some pics and vid’s of flooding in Morrisville again. Looked like water was getting close to or even inside some apartments.

The volume of water that has fallen in the northeast this month is pretty crazy.

Flash Flood Warning just issued here. MVL ASOS over 2” now. Local PWS over 1.25”.

That’s hard to comprehend even if short duration burst.

Some knew it wouldn’t be over at daybreak.

Just shy of 0.70” rainfall so far. Water starting to pond in yards again.

Great analysis. Makes sense. That SE flow led to more widespread max lift, while the second image has the flow aligning with the boundary orientation. Leads to a more narrow max axis potential.

That in NYC would be interesting to say the least. Several zones of 2”+ from Canada to the South Coast showing the potential… but the consensus of a stripe of 4-8” seems to continue to aim from NYC area NE-ward into CT.

It’s funny how much our opinions are based on other regional observations and the jackpot zone. TAN is on pace for an 8-inch July based on rainfall through the first 14 days. Stein lol. But it’s true that ORH and BDL are on a 16-inch pace.

As we’ve seen several times across the northeast this past month, the atmosphere seems to want to drop big rain amounts. The water table region wide is very high, any of these events will cause big impacts. Active jet (great divergence aloft) and upper level energy with troughs continually interacting with this moisture rich air. High PWATS all the time now. How often do we see 5-10” rain amounts forecast? Seems like each event now. Wild stuff.

BDL had a lower relative humidity all afternoon than ORH. It was more arid despite higher dews. Since temps decrease faster than the dew with height, they become closer together and the RH increases with height. You are confusing RH with dew points. BDL at 90/72 is 56% RH (more arid). ORH at 82/68 is 62% (not as arid).

Wait what? You mean relative humidity? As surface pressure increases (lower elevation) the dew point should go up. How does higher elevations see higher dews?

Temp of 82F? Just doesn’t get hot there does it… can see why he loves the dews as it’s something that spot can excel at.