powderfreak

Weakening but still some potential for additional 0.5" to 1.5"? Location may be wrong on the models but the potential is there to pad the stats. .

Nice Advisory level event down there.

How’s Forky feel about that?

It’s too bad the clouds came in. Today was just like cloudy and 50s. Not much redeeming value, but yes dry. Only 3” up here in September.

Mild and suppression would be an interesting combination.

My wife flew into Newark just now. Lucky choice for a NYC area airport to fly through today. No delays or issues while JFK and LGA are in trouble.

The modeled max amounts are noteworthy. Someone gets a legit flood. To get the models to print out these QPF signals… someone is getting smoked. It could be relatively localized.

The official water year runs October 1st to September 30. It's the officially recognized dates for tracking yearly water totals. USDA, USGS, and most folks use it for planning purposes, reservoirs, and agriculture. The warm season ends the water year, "calendar" flips as vegetation starts to go dormant. CoCoRAHS has this: While the definition may vary regionally, a common definition of "water year" is October 1 through September 30th. In the cool months, evaporation rates are very low, snow accumulates in cold regions, storms tend to be widespread, and most areas see accumulation of moisture in the soil. Then comes spring with it's accompanying snow melt and high runoff from mountainous regions and higher latitudes. The summer months bring high evaporation rates. Precipitation (much from thunderstorms) becomes much more localized. Soil moisture may be gradually depleted during summer as vegetation uses large volumes of water. Streams run slower and clearer. https://www.cocorahs.org/wateryearsummary/

These two events make me wonder if we even see flakes this winter.

You want it all.

SNE taking the shitty-day baton from NNE with this recent run. The moisture gradient lifted NW during peak summer, and has been slinking SE lately as these more usual autumn highs build in from the north. Maybe by winter it bottoms out in the mid-Atlantic?

Same here. 37F. M1/4 fog.

Widespread 40s this evening.

68/45 and full sun. This is how September should be. Sneaking into the 30s in the AM then near 70F in PM.

HIE with 34F. Bet Alex and Diane frosted?

Ha, no. Feeling the dry mild weather. Absolutely gorgeous days. This morning dropped the wife off at BTV airport at 6am, now up at 4K feet with the dog. Saw 38F as lowest on car in town, 39F up here. Stunning and crisp morning, where you can see your breath the whole hike up.

Doesn’t look too bad for weekend? The Euro OP isn’t good but no one trusts that at all. GFS, GGEM, ICON all look dry for BOS. 70F Sat and 75F on Sunday?

39F

It looks like this…

Best possible use of eminent domain.

Now that’s a lobbyist we can all get behind. The Plateau Super PAC.

Hey just adding to the fire that Dendy and Dryslot started . In winter we are hanging from chairlifts by sweaters if this happens. No one is like “wow great sunny day at -13F under this high pressure!” while SNE gets 12-24 at 18 degrees lol.

72F

Nearing 70F here and feels almost hot out with full sun. Windows and door wide open. Crazy how different the last three days have been from north to south.

Is there? It is a little hazy but doesn't seem to be impacting much.