powderfreak

Kevin gets some props for completely crowd sourcing pretty much all model data he needs.

Not a flake here, ha.

Yeah best chance.

Gotta use the positive snow depth maps. They’ve been pretty decent in this one.

Just like how they look when I’m weighing the SWE in the snowpack.

Ha! You’re incredibly close to the Barnes Camp Snow Plot there. That’s the snowcat road behind you and then past that in the woods back there is a stake. 10-11” in town sounds right. The village at 750ft can be half what 1500ft is at times. Village doesn’t really do big depths but it’s just consistent cover much of the winter.

That’s showing a 4-8” at elevation and 2-5” valley type event for a good chunk of geographic area through northern SNE and CNE. Most folks would sign up for that when considering thermal profiles.

Yeah very well could be. Just worth noting when they are so much different than the other snow output. It gives me pause, it worked well up here in several of the paster events in December.

The positive snow depth numbers in these marginal events are not impressive. GFS NAM

Its getting there. Dynamic cooling.

Before the rain and ice. The fluff. Content by StatusProject on X.

Yup, the HRRR is prone to that. 3KM NAM too. This look is wet, low-ratio snow or even white rain with the dark blues. But radar p-types don’t mean or imply anything about accumulations. Just guessing there.

I know I’m getting older when it starts to creep into my head too. Daylight and summer evenings until 9pm? Sounds nice compared to the brutally gray, foggy RN/ZR/IP/SN from today. Felt like a spring system in April except a lot darker.

10km Canadian RDPS under short term models.

The positive snow depth maps show the struggle is real. Kuchie 3km Positive Snow Depth

Positive snow depth would probably be the best but don’t have it for Reggie.

Reggie juiced and looks similar rain/snow line to NAM.

Love the passion. Thats what brought this forum together in the first place.

Sometimes I wonder if people’s perception of the Euro is a little different than what reality actually was. The other models just sucked so much more.

Today was the end of a nice two-week stretch of good snow. It’s raining now in town and freezing rain on the mountain. Solid icing profile on the east side mid-slope, with 30F at 3600ft, 27F at 2400ft and 29F at 1500ft. Snow conditions will lose the fun packed powder surface. It’s raining steadily at 31-34F locally here in the valley… most places around freezing and just above. The 32.1F rain. Under 1200ft.

You get those vibes even when a KU is modeled though.

Good luck! Big adaptive camp going on at Stowe right now. Wounded Warriors. These folks go full send. Never lose hope on skiing or riding.

The wind and wet snow has taken a number on the vegetation this year, more so than most winters.

Yeah the Champlain Valley snowpack in any given winter isn’t too different from elevated interior SNE. In fact, a lot of winters 1,000ft at ORH will have more snow on the ground than the CPV. It’s colder up north and can be prone to more wintry events… but CPV climo isn’t far off your home. I’d put the winter at mediocre due to warmth, but it’s been serviceable with some highlights. Snow cover hasn’t been deep, but it has been consistent. A lot of events up here have favored east of the mountains (SE flow below 850, moist and overrunning marginal air masses)… the snow had been heavy paste until the past stretch.

It’s just darkened it looks like. I bet that’s super bright and hard to get the cloud definition without taking it down a bit. Those peaks have snow.