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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. Heavy snow. METAR KMVL 100110Z AUTO 22003KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV004 M02/M04
  2. It’s the inversion level IMO. It dictates how the moisture moves over the terrain.
  3. It is just puking snow. 2”. Apparently heavy sleet and ice pellets with strong winds west of Spine… then you drive into heavy snow in a matter of a few hundred feet crossing onto east side. Hear I-89 and RT 2 through the Winooski Gap goes from like no snow and heavy sleet, to dumping snow like a switch flips.
  4. Its so weird because my links all have Twitter instead of X and just embed on their own.
  5. 2-M Winds at 70-80mph on HRRR in BTV and surrounding areas overnight. Yikes. Saw one panel with 84mph.
  6. This is pretty concerning for the Vermont side of the Champlain Valley and BTV suburbs, western slope communities. They can downslope with the best of them in pulse style winds. Some very big 70-80mph events have happened in the past. Wonder if this is another one.
  7. Hey it’s hit on general trends several times this year. To be honest, close in I do think it’s best the Euro in multiple instances this season. Of course it’s going to have its issues, and it’s a bit too jacked on ridge top precipitation, like the 3km NAM does. Regarding the 20”+ in narrow Appalachian area… Its doing it up here too. Its a downslope bright band fake out the HRRR and 3km NAM are prone to do. It’s actually pretty interesting. They print out phantom crazy precipitation amounts just beyond the ridge lines during these strong downslope situations on SE wind… and with marginal thermals. See it do it in PA… Then it does it again up over the west slopes of the Greens. For some reason it puts extreme precip in the downslope zones during marginal thermal profiles. These high precip amounts are not on the Spine, they are actually located west of the barrier and I’ve seen the models do this plenty in the past. Just like all the snow in southern PA and adjacent spots is phantom… so is this 20” on the west slope communities in VT, they’ll get 65mph wind and rain instead. Weird quirk in HRRR and 3km NAM.
  8. WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph.
  9. 3km NAM… this one feels like a storm for the meso-models. Tight thermals, rain, sleet, snow. Part of me wonders if the global models are over extending the amount of snowfall over wide areas.
  10. Yeah looked like an inverted trough situation across some parts… stretching from NW to SE and moving very slowly to almost stationary. Given the snow growth and cold temps, every bit of extra QPF was amplified. Thats a respectable event with 13”!
  11. 7.5” here in the village. Zero complaints when it looked like we might miss completely a few days ago. A half inch topping the past two hours. We’ll see if upslope snow showers can deliver another half inch to give us eight. The mountain had 8” at 4pm… looks like at least another two of high ratio fluff since then up high. The second half of this has had very little QPF. The WAA in the beginning did have a little water with it. Nice region-wide snower for the forum. From the Champlain Valley in the NW to the coast in the SE. East-west, north-south. Everyone snowed.
  12. Damn. You got your jackpot finally. Congrats.
  13. They are right on the water… Atlantic is like 150 feet away. Pretty crazy but looked crushed, photos seemed legit. Said inland even a couple miles had decently less.
  14. Friend photos of Cape Neddick, ME… no idea if the measurement is legit but passing it along. Looks like at least 15” anyway.
  15. BTV ripping out M1/4 on auto obs and 2” per hour. Manned obs showing 1/8sm visibility. KBTV 071754Z 12008KT 1/8SM R15/2200V2600FT +SN FZFG VV007 M03/M04 A2969 RMK AO2 SLP060 SNINCR 2/6 4/006 P0010 60030 T10281044 11022 21039 58014 METAR KBTV 071750Z AUTO 12007KT M1/4SM +SN FZFG VV006 M03/M04 A2969 RMK P0010 KBTV 071748Z 12007KT 1/8SM R15/2200V2800FT +SN FZFG VV006 M03/M04 A2969 RMK AO2 VIS 1/8V1/4 P0009
  16. To me the different is the big storms. Bennington seems to be left out more in the big ticket east flow events. But they'll do fine from the west and the lighter events, lake effect streamers, etc.
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