powderfreak

It’s been 0 to -2F for temp anomalies over a large area so far in November. And it looks to stay colder than normal in the means. Many ski areas from Tahoe to Utah/Wasatch to Colorado are delaying their openings. The pattern will change, but sometimes what happens in November is remembered during the winter. Cooler in the means, mixed with shorter high-end torches, that sounds like a New England pattern. Cold and thaws. Could snow, could rain, but will be colder than normal behind it.

Maybe 7-8:1 for places starting as snow… but given the calendar and SWFE, along with a background cooler than normal November so far (even with the recent torch)… can’t really rule out the Berks/RT 2/ORH Hills for a burst of a couple inches of wet snow from warm frontal precipitation. Agreed the ratios can be misleading, but the overall look would make one wonder about 500-1000ft+ at that latitude…those areas still seem in the game for wintry precip on the front end. Dendrite’s CAD up into Maine is favored in this current synoptic look. Yeah, it’s boring for the milder climate zones of the forum… but it’s a step in the right direction. Climo progression. It could be a torch. Next runs could also rain everywhere to Canada, be weaker and more boring, or dig in and result in net gain for someone. Money would be on more boring, as that is also climo.

18z EURO with a decent front end thump... would get RT 2 Mass from Berks to ORH Hills... but best up through Mitch and Dendrite. Eventually the warmth washes over everyone except far NNH and NW ME.

Honestly on that 18z GFS it would play out up here like many systems of that ilk… totals might be ok but it’s over like 36 hours or even more. Get like 3-5” in WAA, then nothing for like 18 hours of drizzle or freezing drizzle and another 4-5” over 12 hours at the end as the deeper cold comes back in.

3” of paste and ripping with branches drooping.

Wedged in pretty good. Tamarack with 12+ OTG for Thanksgiving there.

9 years ago… one of the fakest storms in a long time hitting BUF south towns.

Opening day and spring bumps just like we left it in April/May.

Wonder if they are aware of exactly where Massachusetts is for starters?

One of the tighter inversions in a while. It’s like 20F warmer just a few hundred feet up. The Stowe Country Club golf course is 28F at the bottom and 44F on the hill behind it, ha.

Ha.

I’m not sure what MADIS says for a trend, but definitely noticing a warm trend all the sudden at MVL. The MVL ASOS, out in the field, has never strayed far from the local PWS spots in the valley. But recently it’s broken off from those PWS readings by up to several degrees at times. 36F when the valley is 32-35F.

Charts.

Been spitting light wet snow for past hour or two. Nothing really on radar though. 33F. We’ll try to stay safe.

All I knew was they were on pace with their timeline of having the new lift operational before the Xmas-New Years holiday week. Looks like the towers were flown in today. I don’t know the status of the terminals but usually those take the longest to build. Things like the towers, while big, get put in fast due to the cost of the helo. String the haul rope, then test it, carriers go on quickly as long as they are on site, etc.

That’s a nice streamer. Looks like something that would drop an inch.

A half inch of dust. Maximizing those few hundredths of QPF, ha.

We open Friday.

GFS looking snowy at 18z. Just gotta tug that SE a bit.

Nice white coating out there. Good flakes. 30F.

-1.2F at MVL here. -2.2 at MPV. -3.1 at BTV. I still feel MVL is drifting a bit warm compared to local PWS (relative to how it’s been in the past) but it’s still within reasonable.

Radiators and elevations mount up. Already at our coldest reading of the season at 20F. But also 19F up at the ski resort at 1600ft. 15F summit. Not inverted yet.

It's hard to say but its usually measured in acre feet. There are so many variables that go into it, but production with many of the low-e guns maxes out in the 12-14F degree range. Lower teens is sort of the sweet spot for pumping water with very little compressed air. It's really just water and air combinations, like when its warmer you are heavy on air and light on water (thus not making much snow)... while colder temps are heavy on water and light on air (more QPF/more snow, ha). You can do feet in a pile overnight at 10-15F. The irony is that it can get too cold and you start losing water to evaporation and into the air at a certain temperature... some of the crystals don't have enough mass to fall to the ground and get suspended in the air. You get the big snowmaking cloud over a mountain, which is essentially water that isn't finding the ground. You still produce plenty of snow but you are losing some of the water to the atmosphere at those single digits and lower temps.

Mansfield is still weak down in the lowest 300-400 verts… the top 1,600 vertical is pretty stout. That’s the problem with top-to-bottom openings… the base area runout is usually the hold-up at 1500-1800ft elevation. While above 2,500ft looks like this.

Mid-winter vibe up high today despite only 6” of cover.