powderfreak

It’s 100% insurance liability coverage and the litigation friendly United States. We see it in the ski industry all the time… whereas Canadian and European operators don’t even blink at some of the stuff that will get you sued and shut down in America. You are better off cancelling school 100 times before you risk that one single multi-million dollar negligence suit that’s front page news. How many lawsuits have we seen since the 1990s about high school sports and coaches? One kid passes out from heat stroke, has a seizure, and the coach/school is sued for a lot of money. The courts have decided the school is unequivocally liable for your child’s safety while they are there… and here we are now.

GEFS and EPS are largely similar in 850mb anomalies during that time period. Day 8-12 means…

Sign of the times is the first high elevation snows out west. Sierra spots like Mammoth, Palisades/Alpine Meadows, Kirkwood saw snow, as did interior Rockies spots like Jackson Hole (pictured here). It’s crazy to me these guys can get a coating of snow in August, while places in New England can be begging for it even in December. Yes, I know they are at 10,000ft. Still. Though if we had 10,000ft elevations that recent ULL would’ve been a big snowstorm at that elevation, so sort of checks out.

+1.7 here and +1.6 St Johnsbury… but BTV down to -0.3 as the overnight lows don’t impact them as much (don’t radiate). Been as close to a below normal month as you’ll get here. Anything under +2 these days is a win against Earth’s inferno.

I’m afflicted to some degree. I think it’s the information overload in society… cue Tip. It’s just taking the emotional let down of a subsidence zone, one step further. Worrying about the rain after the storm. A weenie in 1932 loves the 16” of snowfall, and ignorance is bliss about what his neighbors received and the upcoming weather. The snow lover today smashes his keyboard when he sees 10 miles away get 28”, and it’s going to rain within 5 days.

There’s two months of nice weather left. Top 10 day season coming up in Sept and Oct usually. As a forum though, folks’ emotions are often more tied to the future than the present. If there’s a blizzard in progress but consensus for a cutter in 4 days, some will not be able to enjoy the blizzard. Just like we’ll mourn the end of summer for the next two months for fear of another winter of 40s and rain.

Ok I mean we are splitting hairs then. 75/55 or 83/63 is not *that* different in the grand scheme of things. Its not going to like highs in the 40s and 50s. Averages at BDL look to drop from 80F to 70F from 9/1 to 9/30. So like 80 early in the month is basically normal… trending above normal.

Isn’t there a difference between using available guidance to formulate a discussion and weather outlook, rather than just holding true to one’s desires regardless of available data? Of course there’s going to be a burst of dews mixed in there. We can get high dews ahead of an October cutter. But do you think it lasts a week or so of true summer heat and humidity given the overall guidance right now?

It’s still wild how the two options in your head are either 92/70 or 44/43 and rain. Like there’s no other possible weather outcomes between those.

Some might say west of him is... the Berkshires?

Euro EPS shows similar pattern layout Days 10-15. Nice, normal September weather with no heat around. 70s by day 50s/40s by night…. classic September.

Awesome evening but not a fan of the sun going down behind the hills by 7:10pm. It was 8:30pm a couple months ago. The fields have these sandboxes from flooding this summer… River sand deposites. One of those flash flood events had where I’m standing waist deep in flowing water.

That 12z GFS is just comfortable. A couple days hitting the low to mid 80s torch spots early on but most of that run was just “comfortable”… That run is by and large 70s days, 50s by night widespread across New England. Not cool. Not hot. Just right. And that’s ok. Doesn’t need to be hyped one way or the other.

It’s always got to be “chilly” or “hot” on here… it can’t just be comfortably nice or seasonable on here . Like today.

Sorry man. He’ll always be with you, in snowstorms and everything else.

This is one thing I agree strongly with you on. Keep the core organs warm, and air out the legs.

Saw BTV post some stats that were pretty interesting from this cool shot. Numerous sites in BTV's CWA recorded their coldest August max temps in 20-30 years. That's not for nothing, as it's for the entire month of August, not just daily highs. Burlington's 62F max was the coldest in August since 1994. Saranac Lake's 56F max was coldest since 1997. Massena's 59F max was coldest since 1994. Montpelier's 58F max was coldest since 1988. That's a decent trough for the time of year.

They are both associated with cold outcomes. Like you said, you never see CMC and CFS torches posted. I can’t wait for my 400” of CMC snow. A few friends and I call it the “Canadian Tire” model as it tries to sell as many snow tires as possible each season.

Feel like that applies to all aspects of society too. Just wading through the pool of bad posts for the few gold nuggets. 75/54 and just about perfect outside.

Is the CMC the same family as the CFS? Im assuming it’s just a typo but wouldn’t surprise me either if it’s a Canadian product.

Amazing day. Interesting that this past ULL was the first stretch of 3 sub-70 degree days in Burlington in 10 years. Key Message: * Beautiful weather through Saturday with plentiful sunshine and seasonable temperatures. We bid adios to a vertically stacked upper level low pressure system that has brought us an unseasonable fall-like chill and the first stretch of three sub-70 degree days in August at Burlington since 2014.

10% sounds about right from last year. This year isn’t quite as bad from what I’ve seen but still down from the first couple post-COVID years. I don’t think it’s all weather though like I said. I think we saw a post-COVID boom that pumped visitation for a couple years and water is starting to find its level too (no pun, ha). I guess the metric would be comparing tourism nationwide or in a variety of areas to the VT tourism metrics… if everywhere is down a bit, then I think it’s less weather and more outside economic factors. Inflation, less disposable income, etc. I know AirBnB nationwide has been down decently in advanced bookings and they are a good indicator. Their stock is down like 39% past 6 months due in part to a recoil in travel/vacations even worldwide. We expect winter tourism to be a bit muted too by a few percentage points even if weather/snow is normal… because of some of the economic factors going on.

Tourism is always booming, ha. To be honest it’s a little down but not much, following economic factors. Like AirBnB down nationwide slightly. Coming out of the COVID travel rush the past couple years too. Its always rained in the mountains in the summer… some more than others.

Good ol' sheet drizzle today. Cyclonic NW flow makes a lot of snow in the winter and just miserable weather any other time of year . 1.61" past few days in Stowe with 2"+ west of the Spine.

Can you wear a business suit without sweating through it? COC.