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Wannabehippie

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  1. Wannabehippie
    It's dead Jim.
  2. Wannabehippie
    As of 5pm advisory from NHC, no surface circulation was found. It has been reduced from an orange to lemon.
  3. Wannabehippie
    99L right between two areas of dry air. Conditions in the central Caribbean are not favorable for development as per the NHC. It will reach there on Tuesday.
  4. Wannabehippie
    Still a lot of SAL out in the central, and eastern Atlantic.
  5. Wannabehippie
    Seems early to see such vibrant colors.
  6. Wannabehippie
    99L is pretty far south, at about 8N. On the other hand Erin broke up a lot of that SAL. Still a lot in the mid and eastern Atlantic. But there is that spot between 90L and 99L that is clear of SAL at the moment.
  7. Wannabehippie
    2:00 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 Location: 35.6°N 70.5°W Moving: NE at 18 mph Min pressure: 952 mb Max sustained: 100 mph
  8. Wannabehippie
    I would say ENE. But we will find out for sure at the 2pm advisory.
  9. Wannabehippie
    As we say goodbye to Erin, and go on to the next storm. 8:00 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 Location: 34.8°N 71.8°W Moving: NNE at 17 mph Min pressure: 945 mb Max sustained: 105 mph
  10. Wannabehippie
    They already have gotten some rain, just going by satellite photos.
  11. Wannabehippie
    8:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 Location: 32.2°N 73.2°W Moving: N at 14 mph Min pressure: 941 mb Max sustained: 110 mph
  12. Wannabehippie
    Erin moving due north now. 5:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 Location: 31.2°N 73.6°W Moving: N at 14 mph Min pressure: 943 mb Max sustained: 110 mph
  13. Wannabehippie
    You can see how large Erin has gotten https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/7a96c6d7-c750-4edf-a392-f54ab95c2ee5
  14. Wannabehippie
    Is that an outer eye wall forming? New ERC ongoing?
  15. Wannabehippie
    I think the only thing holding Erin from regaining cat 3 is that dry slot near the center. If it can clear that out, we probably will get some intensification.
  16. Wannabehippie
    2:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 Location: 30.6°N 73.6°W Moving: N at 13 mph Min pressure: 943 mb Max sustained: 110 mph Nice clear eye now, but some dry air near the center of circulation But the wider view looks like it has good outflow to all quadrants.
  17. Wannabehippie
    Small eye forming, open to the SE. If it can clear out the dry air it could get some intensification.
  18. Wannabehippie
    Tropical systems will always grow in size as they gain latitude.
  19. Wannabehippie
  20. Wannabehippie
    11:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 27.7°N 73.0°W Moving: NNW at 12 mph Min pressure: 959 mb Max sustained: 100 mph
  21. Wannabehippie
    8:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 27.3°N 72.7°W Moving: NNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 959 mb Max sustained: 105 mph
  22. Wannabehippie
    That blob of convection was, and remains pretty far south. Almost at 5 degrees. The low coriolis effect will probably inhibit development. Add in the SAL, and I don't get how this is listed as an orange by the NHC.
  23. Wannabehippie
    5:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 26.6°N 72.7°W Moving: NNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 105 mph No change in intensity since the 2pm advisory.
  24. Wannabehippie
    Right now Erin is moving NNW, so the GFS model might not be picking up on that. No current flights in to Erin, but last flight, had a higher pressure that the last NHC report. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF308-2005A-ERIN.png
  25. Wannabehippie
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_intensity_latest.png
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