ChescoWx

This morning's lows were the coldest since December 24, 2022 when we recorded 2.8 above here in East Nantmeal. Some area lows this AM. East Nantmeal (7.9) / Warwick Twp (7.4) / Kennett Square (9.1) / Lionville (10.9) / Elverson (10.6) / Chester Springs (11.0). It will be sunny but cold today with most spots struggling to reach the low to mid 20's. Clouds return tomorrow but dry and we will approach but likely not pass freezing in most areas. Snow chances increase again likely right after the AM rush on Friday into Friday night. Saturday looks to be the coldest day so far this season with temperatures not much above 20 degrees for afternoon highs. Records for today: High 65 (1973) / Low 13 below (1982) / Rain 1.83" (1994) / Snow 6.0" (1978)

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The NBM really did the best job IMO....it is usually more conservative but likely not a bad starting point

Continues to snow lightly here in East Nantmeal have picked up some minor additional accumulations from the snow and earlier sleet. Will do the final measure when the precip stops. Looks like I will need to go back out and shovel or sweep again...

A steady mixture of sleet and some flakes here in East Nantmeal temp up to 24.7.

Light snow here in EN temp at 23.0 degrees. Most areas picked up between 1.5" to 3.0" of snow last night and this morning. The NWS has continued the WWA till 4pm for maybe up to another inch of snow and or sleet accumulation today. Skies will clear overnight tonight and with the clear skies and fresh snow cover temperatures in some spots could fall into the single digits above zero tonight. Wednesday should be sunny but continued cold with highs in the low 20's. We could see some additional snow arrive Thursday night into Friday....does not look significant at this time but could make for another slippery commute on Friday morning. Records for today: High 61 (1932) / Low minus 10 (1982) / Rain 1.71" (1924) / Snow 10.0" (1945)

Light snow here in EN temp at 23.0 degrees. Most areas picked up between 1.5" to 3.0" of snow last night and this morning. The NWS has continued the WWA till 4pm for maybe up to another inch of snow and or sleet accumulation today. Skies will clear overnight tonight and with the clear skies and fresh snow cover temperatures in some spots could fall into the single digits above zero tonight. Wednesday should be sunny but continued cold with highs in the low 20's. We could see some additional snow arrive Thursday night into Friday....does not look significant at this time but could make for another slippery commute on Friday morning. Records for today: High 61 (1932) / Low minus 10 (1982) / Rain 1.71" (1924) / Snow 10.0" (1945)

Still some light snow falling here in East Nantmeal temp at 22.7 snow since midnight 1.3" - total snow so far 2.5"

1.3" as of midnight here in East Nantmeal Twp.

The biggest collapse in Philly sports history!!! How many days till pitchers and catchers??? Thank God for the Phillies!!!!!

As of 10pm 0.8" here in East Nantmeal snow intensity picking up over last 30 minutes

NWS ups Western Chesco with their last update snow has increased here in intensity in the last hour ... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 827 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 PAZ101-161430- /O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-240116T2100Z/ Western Chester- Including the cities of Honey Brook and Oxford 827 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. * WHERE...Western Chester.

Not a big fan of model snow forecasts this close in but....GFS with an area of significant snows running along the higher elevation locales....so south of the typical low spots in the Lehigh Valley and focused across the higher spots from Lancaster County to NW Chester County and then through Western Montco and Bucks Counties....

Looks like the NWS upgraded all N and W of the fall line see below from AFD "Expecting 2 to 4 inches along the I-95 corridor and surrounding suburbs, and 3 to 5 inches north and west of the Fall Line. 1 to 3 inches of snow is expected elsewhere across Delmarva and southern New Jersey."

Latest NAM - pretty consistent - have a hunch it is slightly over done still

I think this is a 2" to 3" event for my area in NW Chesco....

Very light snow here in NW Chesco temp at 25.5 degrees

Latest GFS And Canadian

It has certainly been a slow decade for snow enthusiasts in the area. Since 2020 we have only had 8 snow events that I would consider at least moderate (more than 4 inches) They are in reverse order 3/12/22 (4.3") / 1/29/22 (5.8") / 1/7/22 (4.3") / 2/22/21 (5.0") / 2/19/21 (7.5") / 2/7/21 (8.8") / 2/3/21 (16.6") and 12/17/20 (9.3")

It has certainly been a slow decade for snow enthusiasts in the area. Since 2020 we have only had 8 snow events that I would consider at least moderate (more than 4 inches) They are in reverse order 3/12/22 (4.3") / 1/29/22 (5.8") / 1/7/22 (4.3") / 2/22/21 (5.0") / 2/19/21 (7.5") / 2/7/21 (8.8") / 2/3/21 (16.6") and 12/17/20 (9.3")

If you like a big east coast storm - I like it to be out to sea at this range. I suspect it starts coming back on most models by 0z tomorrow night

Cloudy Temp 23.6 RH 48% DP 7.3....some virga in the area

Latest NAM still liking the "peaks" of the Welsh Mountain anticline here in Chester and Berks Counties

Through yesterday we are at 40% of our normal seasonal snow to date here in NW Chester County. If the models are correct we may get pretty close to normal seasonal snow to date over the next 6 days. Of course we don't shovel models! Some southern areas of Chesco could see some flurries later today but for most snow will hold off till after the 7pm hour. The NWS is forecasting 2" to possibly 4" across the area by the time the snow ends tomorrow morning. Sun returns Wednesday before our next chance of snow arrives on Thursday night. Temperatures for the next week will remain below freezing. Records for today: High 70 (1932) / Low 3 below (1988) / Rain 1.07" (1898) / Snow 6.0" (1927)

Through yesterday we are at 40% of our normal seasonal snow to date here in NW Chester County. If the models are correct we may get pretty close to normal seasonal snow to date over the next 6 days. Of course we don't shovel models! Some southern areas of Chesco could see some flurries later today but for most snow will hold off till after the 7pm hour. The NWS is forecasting 2" to possibly 4" across the area by the time the snow ends tomorrow morning. Sun returns Wednesday before our next chance of snow arrives on Thursday night. Temperatures for the next week will remain below freezing. Records for today: High 70 (1932) / Low 3 below (1988) / Rain 1.07" (1898) / Snow 6.0" (1927)