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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
If you notice they actually picked up my Facebook post and a couple ski areas along with Channel 69 referenced my post in this video!. The folks that shared my page drove my weather site to pick up over 1700 new followers since the Saturday post. I am approaching 6k followers. Sadly many seem to not understand the differences between model guidance and a forecast. My constant tagline on the site is "we don't shovel or plow model snow!: but folks don't listen! -
A frosty start to the day here in the County with temps in many of the lower valley spots in the low 20's. Here in East Nantmeal we are down to 25.4 this is our coldest temperature since the 24.2 on March 20th. So far here in November we are running almost a degree below normal in average temperatures. We should see below normal temps continuing through mid-week but with warmer temps both Thursday and Friday before another turn to chillier weather which should last through much of the remainder of November. Our best chance of rain in a while appears to be on Friday night...fingers crossed! Records for today: High 78 (1902) / Low 17 (1920) / Rain 2.33" (1904) / Snow 1.5" (2014)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
A frosty start to the day here in the County with temps in many of the lower valley spots in the low 20's. Here in East Nantmeal we are down to 25.4 this is our coldest temperature since the 24.2 on March 20th. So far here in November we are running almost a degree below normal in average temperatures. We should see below normal temps continuing through mid-week but with warmer temps both Thursday and Friday before another turn to chillier weather which should last through much of the remainder of November. Our best chance of rain in a while appears to be on Friday night...fingers crossed! Records for today: High 78 (1902) / Low 17 (1920) / Rain 2.33" (1904) / Snow 1.5" (2014) -
Many spots across the County reached near or just below freezing this AM (32.0) here in East Nantmeal. Today will continue a stretch of below normal temperature days that will take us through most of the upcoming work week. We should see widespread freezing temps tonight with some spots reaching the mid 20's. We should see a slow warming trend with temps going back above average by next weekend...we may even see some much needed rain by next weekend. Records for today: High 76 (1912) / Low 15 (1926) / Rain 1.40" (1970) / Snow 2.8" (1968)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Many spots across the County reached near or just below freezing this AM (32.0) here in East Nantmeal. Today will continue a stretch of below normal temperature days that will take us through most of the upcoming work week. We should see widespread freezing temps tonight with some spots reaching the mid 20's. We should see a slow warming trend with temps going back above average by next weekend...we may even see some much needed rain by next weekend. Records for today: High 76 (1912) / Low 15 (1926) / Rain 1.40" (1970) / Snow 2.8" (1968) -
We did pick up our first measurable rain since October 30th yesterday....a whopping 0.03". That looks to be the last chance of rain till at least Friday. A chilly below normal temperature week lies ahead with temps falling below freezing the next couple of nights. Milder weather by Friday when we might reach the 60 degree mark! Records for today: High 73 (1949) / Low 19 (1957) / Rain 2.38" (1995) / Snow 4.7" (1987)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
We did pick up our first measurable rain since October 30th yesterday....a whopping 0.03". That looks to be the last chance of rain till at least Friday. A chilly below normal temperature week lies ahead with temps falling below freezing the next couple of nights. Milder weather by Friday when we might reach the 60 degree mark! Records for today: High 73 (1949) / Low 19 (1957) / Rain 2.38" (1995) / Snow 4.7" (1987) -
After a chance at least across Southern Chester County of some much needed rain today...a stretch of below normal temps will set in again today lasting for much of the next week before a warmup to above normal by next Thursday. Looking at the longer range from this point it looks like another cooling trend should start in by the end of next weekend and last through the Thanksgiving Holiday! Records for today 74 (2020) / 16 (1973) / Rain 2.05" (1898) / Snow 0.1" (1987)
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During the 1991-2020 seasons here in Western Chester County we averaged 36.3" of snow
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
After a chance at least across Southern Chester County of some much needed rain today...a stretch of below normal temps will set in again today lasting for much of the next week before a warmup to above normal by next Thursday. Looking at the longer range from this point it looks like another cooling trend should start in by the end of next weekend and last through the Thanksgiving Holiday! Records for today 74 (2020) / 16 (1973) / Rain 2.05" (1898) / Snow 0.1" (1987) -
Today should be our last mild day for at least the next week or so. Many spots across Chesco will touch the mid-60's today before another cold front crosses the area later. Mainly dry and chillier than normal weather should continue till at least the middle of next week with many of the higher spots in the county failing to escape the 40's for high temps for much of the next week. Unfortunately also continued dry! Records for today: High 78 (1975) / Low 19 (1976) / Rain 2.04" (1962)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today should be our last mild day for at least the next week or so. Many spots across Chesco will touch the mid-60's today before another cold front crosses the area later. Mainly dry and chillier than normal weather should continue till at least the middle of next week with many of the higher spots in the county failing to escape the 40's for high temps for much of the next week. Unfortunately also continued dry! Records for today: High 78 (1975) / Low 19 (1976) / Rain 2.04" (1962) -
For you snow fans out there....of note here in Chester County PA we have only averaged a first measurable snowfall prior to November 30th only 43% of the time or 55 times with 129 years of records. The longest stretch without a first measurable snowfall was the 9 years between 1941 and 1949 followed closely by the 8 years between 1970 and 1978. The most consecutive years with snowfall prior to the end of November was the 10 years between 1903 and 1912.
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
For you snow fans out there....of note here in Chester County PA we have only averaged a first measurable snowfall prior to November 30th only 43% of the time or 55 times with 129 years of records. The longest stretch without a first measurable snowfall was the 9 years between 1941 and 1949 followed closely by the 8 years between 1970 and 1978. The most consecutive years with snowfall prior to the end of November was the 10 years between 1903 and 1912. -
E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
It looks to IMHO to be a below normal temperature November in reviewing the latest models....we will be solidly below normal through the 15th with more below normal temps arriving Thanksgiving week... -
A below normal November looks increasingly likely looking at the longer range models that take us through Thanksgiving week here in Chester County. Today will be a good 15 degrees chillier than yesterday and tomorrow will be 15 degrees warmer than today. Overall so far in November we have experience below normal temperatures. With the exception of tomorrow we should see most days over the next week continuing this chilly trend with below normal temps. Unfortunately, any rain chances look slight at best. Records for today: High (76) 2020 / 17 (1976) / Rain 2.53 (1996) / Snow 0.8" (1927)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
A below normal November looks increasingly likely looking at the longer range models that take us through Thanksgiving week here in Chester County. Today will be a good 15 degrees chillier than yesterday and tomorrow will be 15 degrees warmer than today. Overall so far in November we have experience below normal temperatures. With the exception of tomorrow we should see most days over the next week continuing this chilly trend with below normal temps. Unfortunately, any rain chances look slight at best. Records for today: High (76) 2020 / 17 (1976) / Rain 2.53 (1996) / Snow 0.8" (1927) -
Typical up and down weather pattern as we move through November. Warmer today with temps well above normal in the upper 60's. Cooler again tomorrow - milder Thursday then below normal through the upcoming weekend. Unfortunately only minor chances of much needed rain through the week. Records for today: High 75 (1938) / Low 19 (1960) / Rain 1.38" (1932)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Typical up and down weather pattern as we move through November. Warmer today with temps well above normal in the upper 60's. Cooler again tomorrow - milder Thursday then below normal through the upcoming weekend. Unfortunately only minor chances of much needed rain through the week. Records for today: High 75 (1938) / Low 19 (1960) / Rain 1.38" (1932) -
This week should be a roller coaster ride regarding temperatures. Both Tuesday and Thursday should see temps well above normal in the mid 60's. The other days this week and into the weekend will see below normal temps with well below normal readings by Friday. Highs toward and through the weekend will likely stay in the 40's for high temps. Next chance of rain is not until Friday. Records for today: High 78 (1948) / Low 18 (1991) / Rain 2.90" (1963) / Snow 8.6" (1953)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
This week should be a roller coaster ride regarding temperatures. Both Tuesday and Thursday should see temps well above normal in the mid 60's. The other days this week and into the weekend will see below normal temps with well below normal readings by Friday. Highs toward and through the weekend will likely stay in the 40's for high temps. Next chance of rain is not until Friday. Records for today: High 78 (1948) / Low 18 (1991) / Rain 2.90" (1963) / Snow 8.6" (1953) -
Today looks to be a mainly cloudy day with sun returning tomorrow. Temps will average near normal today through Monday with highs in the upper 50's. Warmer on Tuesday before chillier again on Wednesday. We could really use some rain as we are running almost 4" below normal for the year. Our next rain chances look to be on Wednesday night. Records for today: High 80 (1974) / Low 21 (1952) / Rain 1.81" (1947) / Snow 5.6" (1910)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today looks to be a mainly cloudy day with sun returning tomorrow. Temps will average near normal today through Monday with highs in the upper 50's. Warmer on Tuesday before chillier again on Wednesday. We could really use some rain as we are running almost 4" below normal for the year. Our next rain chances look to be on Wednesday night. Records for today: High 80 (1974) / Low 21 (1952) / Rain 1.81" (1947) / Snow 5.6" (1910) -
Another frosty start across most of the County this morning. Temperatures look to remain slightly below normal over the weekend and into the start of the new work week. However we should stay above freezing for night time lows for the upcoming week. Colder air looks likely to return again by the middle of the month. Records for today: High 80 (2003) / Low 17 (1951) / Rain 1.24" (1910) and Snow 1.0" (1910) part of the 2nd largest early season snowstorm in Chester County history with another 5.6" falling on the 4th for a 6.6" total. The greatest early season snowfall in the county occurred just 12 years ago with the 9.0" of snow that fell on October 29, 2011.
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another frosty start across most of the County this morning. Temperatures look to remain slightly below normal over the weekend and into the start of the new work week. However we should stay above freezing for night time lows for the upcoming week. Colder air looks likely to return again by the middle of the month. Records for today: High 80 (2003) / Low 17 (1951) / Rain 1.24" (1910) and Snow 1.0" (1910) part of the 2nd largest early season snowstorm in Chester County history with another 5.6" falling on the 4th for a 6.6" total. The greatest early season snowfall in the county occurred just 12 years ago with the 9.0" of snow that fell on October 29, 2011.