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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
A beautiful Friday on tap with temps rising into the low 60's. Tomorrow looks wet especially from the afternoon through Sunday morning. Unseasonably chilly tomorrow with some higher spots remaining in the 40's. Slow moderation next week with more shower chances late Monday night. Records for today: High 87 (1954) / Low 27 (1906) / Rain 2.03" (1927) -
Today looks to be our last near normal temperature day before a stretch of well below normal temps and plenty of rain looking likely this weekend. I would not be surprised if some higher spots in the county struggle to get out of the 40's on Saturday. Who will turn their heat on? Records for today: High 86 (1962) / Low 27 (1962) / Rain 2.96" (1904)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today looks to be our last near normal temperature day before a stretch of well below normal temps and plenty of rain looking likely this weekend. I would not be surprised if some higher spots in the county struggle to get out of the 40's on Saturday. Who will turn their heat on? Records for today: High 86 (1962) / Low 27 (1962) / Rain 2.96" (1904) -
Highs both today and tomorrow should be within a couple degrees of normal in the mid to upper 60's. Sunny skies for the next 3 days to close out the work week. Bout of course the weekend means rain chances. Greatest probability of rain will be Saturday into Saturday night with less chances on Sunday. Chilly on both days with highs only in the mid-50's. Records for today: High 87 (1904) / Low 23 (1929) / Rain 2.62" (2002)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Highs both today and tomorrow should be within a couple degrees of normal in the mid to upper 60's. Sunny skies for the next 3 days to close out the work week. Bout of course the weekend means rain chances. Greatest probability of rain will be Saturday into Saturday night with less chances on Sunday. Chilly on both days with highs only in the mid-50's. Records for today: High 87 (1904) / Low 23 (1929) / Rain 2.62" (2002) -
Our generally below average temperatures look to continue for much of the next 10 days or more. Dry weather should continue till we see rain arriving on Friday night into Saturday. Records for today: High 88 (1939) / Low 24 (1929) / Rain 3.19" (1894)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our generally below average temperatures look to continue for much of the next 10 days or more. Dry weather should continue till we see rain arriving on Friday night into Saturday. Records for today: High 88 (1939) / Low 24 (1929) / Rain 3.19" (1894) -
Quite a few of the lower spots in the county reached the mid to upper 30's this AM. We did reach 40.3 here in East Nantmeal good for our chilliest reading since the 35.9 back on May 18. Great autumnal weather on the way this week with below normal temps for much of the next week across the County. Highs today will remain well below normal in the 50's today but moderate to the low to mid 60's by Thursday. Rain looks likely to arrive by Friday night into Saturday. Records for today: High 87 (1905) / Low 26 (1929) / Rain 2.50" (1903)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Quite a few of the lower spots in the county reached the mid to upper 30's this AM. We did reach 40.3 here in East Nantmeal good for our chilliest reading since the 35.9 back on May 18. Great autumnal weather on the way this week with below normal temps for much of the next week across the County. Highs today will remain well below normal in the 50's today but moderate to the low to mid 60's by Thursday. Rain looks likely to arrive by Friday night into Saturday. Records for today: High 87 (1905) / Low 26 (1929) / Rain 2.50" (1903) -
Following the cold front yesterday we have fallen to our coldest reading (44.2) since back on May 31st (44.1). Temperatures over the next 2 days will be typical for Early November. We should warm back up closer to normal for much of the upcoming work week. We should be dry mos of the week with our next rain chances by Friday. Records for today: High 85 (1916) / Low 28 (1904) / Rain 4.35" (2005)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Following the cold front yesterday we have fallen to our coldest reading (44.2) since back on May 31st (44.1). Temperatures over the next 2 days will be typical for Early November. We should warm back up closer to normal for much of the upcoming work week. We should be dry mos of the week with our next rain chances by Friday. Records for today: High 85 (1916) / Low 28 (1904) / Rain 4.35" (2005) -
E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
0.37" of rain here in East Nantmeal Today - temp fell to 55.3 now inching up a little as the sunshine approaches from the SW...can see it's already sunny down in Baltimore for the Orioles game. Go Phils! -
We have picked up 0.17" of rain so far here in East Nantmeal with the first line of showers. The 2nd line of additional rain with the main cold front should pass through from west to east and be through the county during the noon hour. Temps will fall the rest of the day with temps down into the 50's by 1pm and the 40's by 9pm this evening. Clearing skies later today. Chillier than normal weather should continue for most of the next week with our next chances of rain toward Thursday evening. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 90 (1941) / Low 27 (1923) / Rain 1.48" (1965)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
We have picked up 0.17" of rain so far here in East Nantmeal with the first line of showers. The 2nd line of additional rain with the main cold front should pass through from west to east and be through the county during the noon hour. Temps will fall the rest of the day with temps down into the 50's by 1pm and the 40's by 9pm this evening. Clearing skies later today. Chillier than normal weather should continue for most of the next week with our next chances of rain toward Thursday evening. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 90 (1941) / Low 27 (1923) / Rain 1.48" (1965) -
Starting to see some color in the woods...
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From uncle w based on those warm early Octobers.... some great years on that list... 1898...big snows end of November...historic snow and cold in February...weak neg year...(February 1899 largest 3 day snowstorm in Chester County History 53" ending Feb 14th) 1959...almost -6SD AO in November...White Christmas storm...March Blizzard...neutral... 2002...Christmas day snowstorm...cold and snowy February...el nino... 2013...cold, snowy winter...weak neg... 1922...cold snowy winter...la nina... 1919...cold snowy winter...huge snow and ice storm in February...weak pos year... 1932...snowstorms in December and February...weak pos year..... other years...el nino...snowfall... 1941...11.3"...cold Jan/Feb...inland late March and April snows... 1951...20"...good March... 1986...23"...better south of the city... 2018...21"...Nov snowstorm...good March... 1905...20"...good March... 1991...13"...good March... these el nino winters with a good March were not great winters...except for 86 most of the action came late in the season...
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
From uncle w based on those warm early Octobers.... some great years on that list... 1898...big snows end of November...historic snow and cold in February...weak neg year... 1959...almost -6SD AO in November...White Christmas storm...March Blizzard...neutral... 2002...Christmas day snowstorm...cold and snowy February...el nino... 2013...cold, snowy winter...weak neg... 1922...cold snowy winter...la nina... 1919...cold snowy winter...huge snow and ice storm in February...weak pos year... 1932...snowstorms in December and February...weak pos year..... other years...el nino...snowfall... 1941...11.3"...cold Jan/Feb...inland late March and April snows... 1951...20"...good March... 1986...23"...better south of the city... 2018...21"...Nov snowstorm...good March... 1905...20"...good March... 1991...13"...good March... these el nino winters with a good March were not great winters...except for 86 most of the action came late in the season... -
These first 5 days of October have been the 21st warmest start to the month since 1894. See top 20 below. However, a sharp change to below normal begins tomorrow. In fact today looks to be the last day that reaches 70 degrees for at least a couple weeks and possibly until next spring, Temps by Sunday and Monday will remain in the unseasonably chilly 50's by day and low 40's at night. Some showers can be around today with steadier rain overnight tonight with the cold frontal passage. Records for today: High 94 (1900) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.00" (1932) First 5 days of October Rank Year Avg. Temp 1 1898 73.1 2 1941 73.1 3 1954 71.9 4 1959 70.3 5 2002 70.2 6 1951 70.0 7 1927 69.3 8 1900 69.0 9 1926 68.8 10 1986 68.6 11 2013 68.31 12 1922 68.2 13 1919 67.4 14 1931 67.1 15 2018 66.96 16 1905 66.6 17 1910 66.6 18 2007 66.6 19 1932 66.1 20 1991 66.1
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
These first 5 days of October have been the 21st warmest start to the month since 1894. See top 20 below. However, a sharp change to below normal begins tomorrow. In fact today looks to be the last day that reaches 70 degrees for at least a couple weeks and possibly until next spring, Temps by Sunday and Monday will remain in the unseasonably chilly 50's by day and low 40's at night. Some showers can be around today with steadier rain overnight tonight with the cold frontal passage. Records for today: High 94 (1900) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.00" (1932) First 5 days of October Rank Year Avg. Temp 1 1898 73.1 2 1941 73.1 3 1954 71.9 4 1959 70.3 5 2002 70.2 6 1951 70 7 1927 69.3 8 1900 69 9 1926 68.8 10 1986 68.6 11 2013 68.31 12 1922 68.2 13 1919 67.4 14 1931 67.1 15 2018 66.96 16 1905 66.6 17 1910 66.6 18 2007 66.6 19 1932 66.1 20 1991 66.1 -
E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
You need to move up hill to your neighbor in Reading....while you almost touched 90 he couldn't escape the 70's -
We have had a very warm start here to October with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70's to low 80's across the County. Today and the next couple of days will continue that trend. However, we will see a sharp turn to much cooler than normal temperatures by the weekend. We may see temps across the higher spots of Chester County remaining in the low 50's on Sunday. We should see below normal autumnal temps continuing for most of next week. We will see rain chances ramping up by Friday evening continuing through Saturday AM. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 94 (1941) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.04" (1902)
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
ChescoWx replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
We have had a very warm start here to October with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70's to low 80's across the County. Today and the next couple of days will continue that trend. However, we will see a sharp turn to much cooler than normal temperatures by the weekend. We may see temps across the higher spots of Chester County remaining in the low 50's on Sunday. We should see below normal autumnal temps continuing for most of next week. We will see rain chances ramping up by Friday evening continuing through Saturday AM. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 94 (1941) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.04" (1902) -
All I do is post the actual available climate data for all of the sites in my area. Clearly most of the COOP and AWOS sites around me had a below normal September. Yet we all know when the NCEI numbers come out it will of course be warm!! They will make the necessary "adjustments" to get the data "right"
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Jns2183 this too is my belief... the earth is absolutely warming that is a fact!! I too am all about doing good things for our planet. What is not clear is was there similar warming between 1345 and 1545 on the planet? What was the normal high during that period? How many degrees above or below normal was it? 1c?? Answer...we really truly do not know....
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So how do they pull together the data for the county if not through the NWS observer data? That said it will of course show warming....Could those "official" sites have a warm bias?? By the way in New Holland NWS COOP site also a below normal September - 13th chilliest September with 32 years of record....