CoastalWx

Because it was always after 12/10, now after 12/12. I think your assumption of a few 40s and 50s is generous, esp where you are in the tropics.

Canadian made a nice move at 12z. fwiw.

A small shift to the better, but boy there is an unlimited supply of Scooter sh*t stains in Canada, waiting to screw this up.

3K nam actually looks good for the cape to maybe Diane. Hopefully it works out.

I will also say that now that we are entering the period of relaxation (however you want to take it) we have a cutter, but the period after may be ok especially in the interior. It’s tough to say whether a low goes inland or just offshore, but it’s becoming clearer we can probably eliminate a torch for the northeast. It may be a torch over the border which limits cold influx and cause AN here, but may be ok well inland. Looks like your typical December niño period with warm north, cooler south across the CONUS. Relative to normal.

Good summary. We have a lot of time to sort this out.

Sounds like life is full of excitement up there at Pit2.

We Bobbit?

21.8. Wintry morning albeit bare.

It looks like that area south of Tom’s River and especially near ACY could get possibly a few inches. It’s tough to tell exactly since it may stay offshore, but conditions favorable for good snow growth.

Actually Diane has the best chance of a coating with NE winds converging with NW winds right near her Fanny. James may get a flurry as it exits stage right.

It’s a joke

Having Ginx say next gives me confidence.

Just rolling around in doggie doo puddles, giggling and splashing each other like an Abercrombie commercial.

Anything to give RIC snow

Verbatim some light snows in ern areas on the mean. Must be some members closer to the coast.

Decent shift. Certainly would not take much for a better look.

Good bump NNW on the EPS. That srn s/w is much sharper.

I would say the one thing that does look better(esp EPS) is how the srn s/w looks at, say, hr 120 compared to hr 132 at 00z. We'll need that sharper to get the low into an initial further north position. I think Will said that yesterday as well. So,, keep rooting for that.

There are so many s'w's in the flow. It's like when one thing improves, another s/w flies in to muck around. The good news is that the amount of time we have can allow for some corrections. I think they'll be a limit not only because of what's going on with the PV....but also the Pacific jet is acting up and will become a kicker.

The general rule, is don't use it.

As many of sad, it’s a very complicated flow, but plenty of time for some adjustments.

Seems more and more like a MA storm of some extent.

Ukie looks pretty far south. Tough to tell what it does after, without seeing 500 vort plots.

Canadian ended up giving ern areas a decent storm.