This. I can't state this enough. Maybe you can argue there's a small feedback, but any larger scale shift due to MJO etc will just overwhelm the warm or cool pool.
Yeah, there’s been a weird corridor from Northern Connecticut. Northern Rhode Island to my area. Can’t really complain this summer. Stein tried to brown my grass for a few weeks, but if you don’t water that can happen.
I can’t recall in all my life seeing complete desert like conditions at the lakes region versus things staying green here.
I think we all know warm water is the fuel it needs, but it goes to show you how fickle these things are. You can have water that’s boiling below it, but if one atmospheric factor is off, you’re not getting much.