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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I think he misses some of the things I taught him.
  2. GFS is so bad. It’s what this administration did to the funding.
  3. Deep mind with a bunch of members near ACK and then members south of BID and eastern LI. Euro retros south of the islands and then peels SW towards SE NJ. Ensembles still split. Either way a good storm seems more likely from SNE to Long Island. Don’t expect much coastal impacts towards NYC as the winds are more north. But strong winds and some rain look to happen there too.
  4. There’s an article about how they developed this model. Pretty insane for not using any of the physics we incorporate in current models. I had ChatGPT summarize it lol.
  5. Yeah that model is outperforming everything else.
  6. Weathernext deep mind has a ton turning west south of ACK to BID line. Even a few into NJ.
  7. Looks like ai and eps ensembles are west with the recurve south of SNE.
  8. Will be like 5F diurnal range all week here with these NE winds
  9. Deep mind sort of exhibiting the two-cluster deal too. Actually more spread vs 06z IMO.
  10. Both models seem to have a cluster SE of ACK and then way SW of ACK. Or course the mean will be in the middle...but it's likely one or the other.
  11. 12z AI ensembles a little east but good hit. Curious to see deep mind later.
  12. 2 months worth of rain too lol. Still too early to lock anything.
  13. Euro backing in a little later. Definitely a precarious setup.
  14. Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.
  15. 12z guidance all showing the piece of nrn stream vort coming due south into New England does not phase in to the west, but moves on top and helps squash this.
  16. It would be fitting to start fall right where we exited summer....boredom.
  17. GFS is pushing in the H5 ridging into New England to keep the storm further offshore.
  18. Hopefully it shits itself, but that is in the envelope of solutions. Also subtle shift east overall I thought on all 6z despite the retro west.
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