CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Will probably get another nudge north on 00z and 12z before hopefully subtle shifts SE happen. At least that’s what the weenie in me wants lol.
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I would bring Taunton up in the BOX map.
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And to think Ray was about to lunch nukes to his srn brethren.
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Congrats Dendrite.
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It tends to happen with these. Not always, but we’ve seen it happen many times.
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So would your.......N/M RGEM really thumps.
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There’s a piece of vorticity such that the euro sort of gets the low and slings it back a tad. It’s basically starting to occlude. I see why it’s doing it, but it certainly could be overdone.
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It started getting going near midnight again. Nothing crazy, but verbatim was about to produce widespread snows again.
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Yeah that is a much better look in SNE for round 2 vs euro. But the NAM caveats..:...
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Monday night fatties for all if NAM is right.
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It’s an oblong shape low so crash SE of CF will take time. Given cold layer below 900, could be some decent pelting if NAM is right. It also looks mild at the surface. I’ll toss those temps at ORH on 06z Monday.
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Sneaky warm layer like 800-750. Seems like levels off at hr 57 when bigger lift comes in. It’s pretty darn cold 950-900.
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18z NAM is warm aloft. Taint north of the pike already by 00z Monday.
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Congrats PF.
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I thought hi res euro shows that well. Much of CT even into NYC cools off. Inland just west of BOS down to SW CT certainly below 32.
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Round 1 crushes for sure. I’m all in on that. Round 2 is a little more questionable.
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I think rt 2 north and western New England look good. I could see those numbers there.
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Those maps way too generous south of pike I think.
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Looks like best snows western New England Monday and Monday night. Euro is tucked into the Cape.
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That’s a bizzare map from Ukie.
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You’ll be just fine too. Mr QPF.
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I’d love to lock in the Canadian, but I’m not sure those words ever meant much.
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That’s my interpretation too. I think out there may have best combo of deep RH in the mid levels and frontogenesis for round 2. It could spread east and blossom, but I think that’s where it was favorable on the euro. It’s also where it won’t dry out much aloft during the day Monday. Gfs looked decent here Monday night I thought.
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Yeah don’t see wet snow there.
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It may be just banded in nature. It’s an occluding storm which usually means banded nature. On the other hand sometimes you get a healthy precip shield if things come together just right
