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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Meat is good. I don't fear it either. I fear -RA. Hopefully thump and a slight CJ in the evening offset that.
  2. That is true. LOL, wonder how that will be spun.
  3. RGEM looked like it ticked north, but again the general theme is a better thump to start. Looks like I turn to a bit of -RA regardless before back to snow in the evening.
  4. Yeah EPS isn't torchy with HP nosing in and probably one of those shallow mixing scenarios.
  5. I agree with CT. WIll be good thump there for sure. Sometimes you have that with a secondary area like north of the pike with the mid level forcing.
  6. You were stealing Ray and dendy's snow.
  7. We said it would come north to get areas north of the pike and it did. The guidance was bouncing around and I mentioned this in passing because it was amusing to see it. Lots of movement.
  8. I thought we all did a good job saying the euro was probably too far south and we expected it to come north. I know multiple people have said that except for one person in Tolland Connecticut.
  9. Ain't going that far, but puke. Thanks srn storm.
  10. Time to update your sig on monthly meh.
  11. Too bad the PAC goes to crap for next weekend. Big storm across the deep south. Have fun in FL, snowbirds.
  12. It's why EC soundings would be awfully nice.
  13. I don't think so. I don't think anyone near and NW of 128 sniffs 32. It won't be high ratio stuff though.
  14. That area near Ray to BED and adjacent srn NH look good.
  15. Congrats on another lame storm.
  16. Yeah nice front thump. Taint and a little rain before back to some -SN.
  17. It’s really cold at 900 MB. That to me tells me that there could be a lot of sleet a little further south than some of those freezing rain algorithms have.
  18. Looks like wagons north a bit on the NAM.
  19. Models aren't perfect with it, so they'll always be some issues. However, I'm not sure I would plan on a forecast bust in 2019 just prior to an event, because of convection.
  20. I fully planned on a 3hr commute at worst. I had no choice, but to leave at 2 when shift ends. Who on Earth would think it takes 8+hrs for like 26 miles.
  21. But models do simulate convection. So while the process is real to a point, this isn't 1995 and guidance not handling convection properly. It would have to completely miss the mark on this.
  22. Roughly 8-8.5 hrs on the road. I wouldn't wish that on anyone.
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