Verbatim GFS turns to rain even taking into it's bad CAD bias to 128 easily. But not before a few to several inches. Anyways, it's one run. I do like the airmass prior to it.
It won't. They already went there with testing equipment and could not find a significant error. But clearly the evidence points to something being off.
We have a hurricane force LLJ from the SW. it’s laughing at the back door. In the spring when lows are weaker and thus gradients are weaker, they have no issue coming SW.