CoastalWx

And my Father wonders why I troll the weenies.

Some of the models do show that low hanging around and waiting for another s/w to fly in after day 7-8. Would be neat to see that happen. 00z FV3 sort of shows this at hr 210.

Ukie out to hr 144 is in LA.

Oh that wasn't meant for you directly...was just throwing it out there,

Having this not quite phase and be a srn special is still the bigger risk.

Flooded and fed chickens=septic tank?

Just over .75 here. High was 54 but down to 51 now with fog.

Yeah a little too far for us. Maybe James can get a flurry.

LOL I bring it on too. I know certain buttons to push, but the overall discussion of the Synoptics won’t change..(IE I won’t Just make stuff up). Well back to the discussion...the euro buried the weekend potential. We’ll see if it can turn the coast after hr 186.

I definitely like to stir the pot. But, I also said it wouldn’t necessarily be a torch. The pattern I envisioned was milder, and at least for our latitude..could be ok inland If things were timed out right. It was a break from what we’ve had. This board is also a heavily biased cold and snow board. I like snow as much as anyone, but I can find 95/100 instances where people thought any relaxation was short lived...only to last twice as long. That’s weather. Sometimes it goes as planned sometimes it doesn’t. It’s still early to go either way. It’s coming regardless. It’s a matter of how long.

By the way, I’d thought you get the parent reference with a time out.

I guess what Don S and Will said was garbage too? It’s a week relaxation or so on the GFS. I said two weeks. Somehow I’ll carry on if I’m off by a week.

All it did was turn it west to pump the PNA. The low won’t vanish, it’s a matter of shifting west or east. You need a time out?

that was his long lost father.

Probably the GEFS being the GEFS, but that was a massive change in the 11-15 day.

Also nobody said torch.

Classic look of a maturing storm down south and a banded structure up here.

I think suppression is the bigger risk vs a cutter or something.

The ensembles look like a Mid Atlantic special. We’ll need to slow things down a bit. I think the kicker off the west coast sort of helps prevent this from turning up the coast on the mean. Not a bad spot to be this far out knowing these things.

That was a good one.

That was a good one for you guys.

That’s why I love man snow. 11/15/18, 12/9/17, and 2/5/16 stick out. Absolutely caked. This is was an old face book cover photo from Feb 2016. It was S+ and caked here. Unfortunately this storm took a few lives from the wet snow. Always beware.

Bingo. Nice post. As Will added, we can still get chances for snow as long as it’s not a brutal +EPO, but they usually have some residence time. It’s also climo to get these looks. So there is really no reason at all to fear a ratter based on this look.

How is that muted? It wasn’t ever a torch look, but that’s flooding the US with milder weather.