CoastalWx
-
Posts
168,101 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CoastalWx
-
Slow crawl east of the elbow. Based on the temps I see, that looks pretty good from about ORH north to Ray etc.
-
Looks like a cold day Saturday imo. Might have to take the under from MEX guidance.
-
Forky is sneaky good. I know the weenies get all riled up, but he knows his stuff too. He'll throw a lot of warm talk to the weenies, but he is a huge snow weenie.
-
You're ok I guess. Andy, Purduewx, is on our team and is an airline met. If there is anyone tuned in to NYC weather, it's him. He's solid as they come.
-
We keep PurdueWx
-
I saw that, but yeah low levels are ugly.
-
Yeah if there is anything probably as a common denominator, surface inland is chilly.
-
We shall call it, the Cory Glory hole.
-
In any case, long way to go. I don't even feel comfortable talking abut these details, but it's to quell some of the crap on here.
-
UKMO was quite messy, I can see the 3hr intervals. Looked fairly snowy near the NH border and especially Mitch-MHT etc. Mixed bag to snow further south. Mess on the coast into CT although interior CT looked icy.
-
It’s like we’ve regressed with these things.
-
I’d favor CNE for a more snowy solution. Right now ORH to srn NH look to be maybe a snow to mix/ice scenario with maybe some rain in there before flipping back to a little -SN? Interior eastern MA to nrn CT probably a touch of snow and/or ice to start and then a cold rain before maybe a flip back. That’s how it looks now, but of course things can and will change. While the mid level warmth floods in, I think low level cold will be stubborn imo.
-
And your post has this written all over....
-
18z eps back to being on the warmer side.
-
What happens if it’s just cold rain on Sunday and then moderate?
-
Different scale. You’re talking minute details in a marginal event that both usually result in busts. I’m talking on a hemispheric level. I’m not trolling. You turned this into me calling for a torch, I’m just saying we moderate for maybe several days at least. Maybe it’s only 40s, who knows....but the overall look is not snowy at that time. Sorry it hurts.
-
Because you pollute the thread with all cold all the time and false hopes. You’re going to make people jump because of false hopes. I’m just telling you what guidance has.
-
Yeah I mean I don’t think it lasts if EPS is right, but it does look like we lose the cold and flow more zonal. So it will be mild for a time. Hopefully the ensembles are correct in reshuffle. I do know some are thinking milder second half, but everything lately has been a wild azz guess.
-
Some get it
-
When I see wire to wire December posts and texts fly, it’s time to put that nonsense to rest.
-
It’s early December. Definitely not winter. It will moderate for sure. Maybe even 50s.
-
Pacific reshuffle. Will warm up before PNA spike. But, that is assuming PNA spike.
-
Some EPS support for the second storm too. Then we moderate.
-
4th place modeling ftw
-
EPS near benchmark.
