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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Probably the GEFS being the GEFS, but that was a massive change in the 11-15 day.
  2. Classic look of a maturing storm down south and a banded structure up here.
  3. I think suppression is the bigger risk vs a cutter or something.
  4. The ensembles look like a Mid Atlantic special. We’ll need to slow things down a bit. I think the kicker off the west coast sort of helps prevent this from turning up the coast on the mean. Not a bad spot to be this far out knowing these things.
  5. That’s why I love man snow. 11/15/18, 12/9/17, and 2/5/16 stick out. Absolutely caked. This is was an old face book cover photo from Feb 2016. It was S+ and caked here. Unfortunately this storm took a few lives from the wet snow. Always beware.
  6. Bingo. Nice post. As Will added, we can still get chances for snow as long as it’s not a brutal +EPO, but they usually have some residence time. It’s also climo to get these looks. So there is really no reason at all to fear a ratter based on this look.
  7. How is that muted? It wasn’t ever a torch look, but that’s flooding the US with milder weather.
  8. He thinks I ripped the EPS, but lots of subseasonal stuff points to this as I said earlier.
  9. A relaxation can include both at our latitude, but overall it usually means closer to AN and not as snowy. You can use whatever Mets for your pacifier as you want.
  10. I said that before, but people think relaxation equals torch. As many have said it does not. It’s a break from what we’ve endured. It’s a pattern that could feature 50-60 and also snow. It’s just not a prolonged wintry look. If people looked at the hemispheric signals that the weeklies and now all ensembles show, they would have seen that. It’s coming. Fact not opinion. Whether it’s 7 days or 14+ days is debatable. I think this is a 2 week thing potentially, but it could be less.
  11. He’s gonna have a spiked dog collar on, doing whatever I ask.
  12. For 9 or whatever days out, it’s a decent look. We all know a small nuances can screw up a decent look, but I’m not sure what people expect?
  13. Shh....it’s muted. In all seriousness it’s not a super torch pattern, it a milder one. For some reason a few can’t accept it. It might get warm in the beginning of that trough throws a Sonoran Tip release.
  14. It’s coming. Embrace it and call me your daddy.
  15. GEFS are almost an Aleutian low later in the 11-15 day. I'll gladly take that and be wrong should it happen.
  16. Aren't you the one posting day 14 blizzards?
  17. I had as much as you did. Hey I don't regret it, but could have capitalized more. I don't see that as unreasonable. Like i said before, some years we have nothing until Jan..so I appreciate Novie snow. I'm also looking ahead and not seeing anything to exciting except for day 9 fantasies.
  18. I think for most of SNE. It was fun, but are you going to sit back and tell your kids about it? Maybe up in NNE for sure. Now that is a month to remember.
  19. The last two weeks could have used a little something. The November event was excellent, just wish we could have added a couple. I'm well aware of climo, but we also had a winter climo last two weeks, so it was possible. Oh well.
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