There is a huge warming at 10mb across Siberia later in the 11-15 day. But the NAO is most certainly positive for the time being. I'm not sure if some thought that we would see blocking again, but that's not happening for awhile. This is a Pacific pattern, what appears to be -EPO driven. I think we all know the caveats. It could be very wintry if times right, cold and dry, or 80s and mullets of cold-->cutter-->cold. I'll take the chances of the cold helping, but ideally I think I want to see the ridge nudged east a bit. Maybe that happens in Jan.