CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Better results when he’s negative.
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I think everyone is still in don’t do it mode. Although secretly I am saying please let it happen.
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Yeah that was a good shift. What a beast of a low well offshore.
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Nrn stream really digging as the low hugs NC coastline. Should be better than 12z.
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Rarely ever look at it. About as much attn as the NAVGEM gets.
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Why is that model used?
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My low was 18, logan 19. I can’t even tell you the last time I was within 1F from them.
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Not sure if there is enough of a sample size yet, but dare I say KBOS has looked reasonable the last two days. I wonder if an adjustment was done?
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That’s a pretty good look. For a mean with that concentric looking of a low, you know it had favorable members.
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I actually thought of that...lol. Of course that was frigid as hell....but dynamical for sure. The idea of a solution like that does make sense. It's possible we may not get a full nuke east of the Cape, but perhaps something from the nrn stream as shown. So it's one of those things where maybe this looks like Ray's fraud 5, but in this case..it does make sense.
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I have no issues with the solution. Sure it wasn't 00z, but a potent look. That's all I want to see at this point.
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That is about as textbook as you will see for that.
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The nrn stream still goes bonkers and cuts off to our south. That is impressive.
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Wow that is text book NORLUN. Holy cow.
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Darn it. Was hoping to jack.
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We NORLUN.
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Actually looks like the Ukie for now.
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I think the euro will take a step back from 00z.
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AGW and I don't mean Anthropogenic Global Warming.
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What are you talking about?
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Yeah, the euro is a good example of that. I'm not trying to poo poo it...but we don't have big cold driving in from a 1040 high north of CAR.
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Doesn’t have to cut for that. Airmass is marginal.
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In any case it’s day 6 and we probably are talking about things we would laugh at a few years ago. Many are just wanting a good storm including myself. Still plenty that could happen given how complicated the setup is.
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I’ve seen these things come in much closer given the origin from the south. I know the flow perhaps isn’t too prone to buckling, but never underestimate those srn origins. Just something to keep in mind.
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It’s very early to really commit. It wouldn’t take much for that to hug much tighter.
