I thought the principle features where handled fine by guidance. Like Will said, you had prolonged erly flow for hours and hours which is usually how we end up with prolific numbers. Throw in some fronto to help consolidate and lift the WAA coming in and poof. For a 3 day total, I can't say I am surprised by the numbers. I think biggest surprise was day 1 near Albany. Runner up last night down near CEF to Hubby...but that was shown on near term guidance. For me, the extent this came west last night was classic on guidance when look at H7 lift and RH. QPF as usual ranks last on models. They do better with the synoptic features. I was half expecting a more wall of moisture just east of me, but that never happened. It was sort of broad and spread out. Not as intense.