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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Wow. More than I thought as far as rain goes. Still that’s a decent amount of snow left. That had to be a good melt higher up with those temps and rain. It will be solid ice now.
  2. How did Alex and PF do? I’m sure they have plenty still.
  3. I should be in. LOL let’s see if we can transgender Kevin again.
  4. That model has had some good long range porn lately.
  5. I always cringe at how confident we think we are at times. The big picture is that the ENSO State we have is favorable for us. But a place like Logan could get 50” or 100” and that depends on luck. That’s a hell of a variance, so it’s worth putting that into perspective.
  6. Long range is voodoo. Nobody should always buy all in to winter. While the signs point to a good one...little nuances that dictate luck simply cannot be determined. So one should always approach it with a reasonable expectation.
  7. Only 0.8" here it looks like. I'll take it as a win.
  8. Yeah. That's been my issue with this winter. December has blown..really since Thanksgiving or so. Missed opportunities. Sometimes that happens..it is what it is. I'd accept it if we had the typical GOAK trough that makes it more mild..but we had some bad luck. That looks to change somewhat. Bigger changes probably in Jan.
  9. Canadian seems to offer the best solution.
  10. The cutter seems inevitable. GFS with the headfake, but in its defense...that was far enough out where all models have that headfake. We may go through a 2014 period as I said earlier with a mix of a little snow and maybe a cutter or two. Next week could start as a little snow or mix, but probably gets mild and turns to rain for many. Still time to get a more CAD solution..but seems like a liquid scenario is inevitable. Massive changes again to the good later in the 11-15 day. You can see how the run to run adjustments are likely due to Pacific reshuffling and the vortex split in the stratosphere.
  11. I’m kidding. I do see Ray’s point but then I feel bad about seeing snow disappear for people. You guys will be fine. Crazy differences in elevation.
  12. Jesus man. I hope it all works out. Thinking of you guys.
  13. Well maybe feb 95 beat that but its close.
  14. Ha yep. I remember that. Best ice event I’ve seen. Pretty special.
  15. Good....good. Soon we’ll all be on the same playing field.
  16. So instead of 65 and rain it’s 55. Boy is winter saved!
  17. Yeah not sure why the angst there. I see a split into Hudson Bay too.
  18. I don’t agree. What PV split into Europe? Up here we don’t need -15F departures for snow.
  19. Hopefully the snow doesn’t melt and unveil bodies on Mitch’s property.
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