CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Well we flush this garbage out and open up space for hopefully something next week on the 12z euro.
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What a weekend coming up. Blech.
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Euro juiced up a tad.
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Global CMC certainly snowy. In fronto we trust.
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The center of it all. In all seriousness my point is that it’s quiet for awhile.
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It is preposterous. This isn’t supposed to happen in a December to remember.
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Someone needs to tell me how the gfs is spitting out this precip with a RH at 850mb of less than 20%.
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Actually 12z Reggie more bullish vs 6z.
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Reggie looks pretty good.
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12z RPM way east now. Basically not much NW of BDL-ORH-LWM FWIW. My guess is GFS may tick east too, or at least lessen frozen QPF anyways. These things are a PITA.
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Go figure, 12z NAM with the baroclinic zone closer to coast, but QPF further east. It does show strong 700 fronto over SNE.
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Sometimes it has wins this far out, but I think it might be an outlier. It's viable.
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Aside from the light snow Wed, we are toast for about 8 days or so. Next up that means anything is Tuesday next week.
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Well who is that directed too? Plains? Northeast? Mid Atlantic? It never looked like a December to remember pattern, but sometimes you can still get good snowstorms like early last week showed. Usually people word these calls in a fashion to claim victory no matter what.
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I'll stick with 1-3 for now. Maybe spot 4 if lucky.
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They were in the low 20s all night which seemed odd compared to everyone else. I didn't see anyone below 32 early this morning. I did see near 32.
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It’s going to be a battle. Some guidance has that bulge or baroclinic leaf look which is a good sign. But it will be fighting dry air advecting in.
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RPM is still rather snowy.
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Down from 4-8?
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I'm not saying it could come in stronger at 12z, but right now I don't see a lot of reasons to be aggressive. The only thing I could see is a narrow area get into a good band of snow for a few hours with not a while lot on either side of that.
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Because it is.
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We are close to getting some events to work out. I've certainly seen worse. Might be a NNE deal.
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NAm and GFS BUFKIT do have good lift in the DGZ so there is that. But it's also fighting dry air near 850. Tough call.
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It's looked like poop to me for awhile. Close to closing the shades...close.
