CoastalWx

No, but it I remember being jelly of the pack.

I even have video of me asking where the snow was in 84-85. Honest to God lol.

Born in 79 bitch

Ha you weenies. If this were the 80s you’d cream yourself. You have no idea.

Light snow Monday and a potential snow or mix after.

Even on the EPS it was low on 3” probs. The clown maps were too generous as well. Throwing snow down with temps above 0C at 925. Meh. You had a garbage airmass to start and we’re relying on dynamics to cool it. You know how that goes.

This whole thing was so marginal to begin with, and it’s not like the euro dropped 18 to 24 inches only to bring it back down to 2 inches.

Boy what a melt in here the last few hours.

The thing with 500 MB Heights, is that small differences in scores actually could represent rather important differences with spatial outcomes. It may look statistically insignificant, but those differences could represent small differences in placements of ridges and troughs at Day “X” but the sensible wx outcome for a specific point could vary quite a bit based on these differences. In general at day 3 we expect all models in general to show a trough or ridge in the same general place. However a small change in 50 miles of the 500mb 560 height contour, may matter significantly with downstream sensible wx outcome.

Those soundings are a little coarse, but shit...

Storm after looks better.

Nick is right, there was a diff with the nrn and srn streams early on at like hr 30.

Looks like SE MA gets decent snows to end. Basically comes down to a non-closed H5 low.

One bite, everyone gets their ass bitten.

Dog food?

That's a big shift in 6 hrs.

Euro folding.

It may not be a fluke, but if the H5 low moves south or is less intense, that will have an effect on the outcome. I don't think the euro will completely abandon what it had at 6z, instead it may adjust. Or maybe it holds stubborn..lol.

Old school GEFS look nice.

I blame you.

Just through work on our energy trader site.

Canadian is a little disorganized too, although some snow to end. Basically it digs the ULL very far south and is stretched. As a result you do not get rapid cyclogenesis and the srfc low is stretched. It doesn't allow the comma head to really wrap up like the euro. We'll see what the euro does. Sometimes the GFS and GEM don't do well with these intricate processes, but we've seen the euro back off at times too.

It is, but the mid levels don't really wrap up before the cold can come in below 850.

GFS is pretty disorganized. Congrats chickens.

Sounds like you have no need for 4-6". Hopefully you suck atmospheric exhaust.