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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    I saw that too. One nice thing we have, are cold temps in the conveyor belt. It may not pound after the heavy heavies leave, but decent temps still for snow flake production despite losing deep lift in the DGZ.
  2. CoastalWx
    It just screws around with the models. Sometimes they cause small pockets of lift and subsidence as they move along.
  3. CoastalWx
    Also there is a rapid pulse of strong 925mb winds. That's unusual.
  4. CoastalWx
    NAM also has what look to be weird G-wave features too? Check out the MSLP and then the 850 temps near the big lift at 700 mb. A warm pocket near the 700 lift.
  5. CoastalWx
    Might be a wet snow in SE cstl areas. May need to watch out for that. Looks like a lot of it falls in the 29-32 temp range here.
  6. CoastalWx
    Looked good for Ray too. He can come off the double decker bridge on 405 in Lawrence.
  7. CoastalWx
    Nah this is about perfect for BOS. Any sharper and you'll slot.
  8. CoastalWx
    This should pound.
  9. CoastalWx
    Sounds like he may be into some other white stuff?
  10. CoastalWx
    EPS juicer than the op. So it looks like members aren’t all in with the blob.
  11. CoastalWx
    But to what Will was saying, look at the curl on the 18z run vs flatter 12z. This is why at first I thought it might be better. Then I saw qpf and mslp and figured the difference was the convection.
  12. CoastalWx
    What a nightmare this is up and down the major terminals of the northeast. Tough ass forecast.
  13. CoastalWx
    If EPS remains similar to 12z, then we'll know the op was voodoo.-
  14. CoastalWx
    Man Hi res slams south coast.
  15. CoastalWx
    Preliminary thinking 8-12 here for BOS. I don't really have CT totals, but probably similar.
  16. CoastalWx
    Yeah I see that too, But I do think that is something to think about as this occludes and drives some convection at least to the east. It's not going to change what I have out, but I'm watching it.
  17. CoastalWx
    I guess that's what bothers me. Is that real? If it is, that will leave it as a banded mess. If not, it will be a much stronger conveyor belt of moisture.
  18. CoastalWx
    Looks more tucked in and then shunted east. Almost gfs like with a weenie low chasing convection.
  19. CoastalWx
    Lmao. You stop that!!
  20. CoastalWx
    Yeah I could see a mix there during the height, especially if it moves north.
  21. CoastalWx
    I think Harvey’s map this far out looks good. Might be a tight gradient, but given all the uncertainty that’s fine to me.
  22. CoastalWx
    They’ll most certainly be a tight gradient.
  23. CoastalWx
    So in my mind something like a Reggie track is sort of what I envisioned when I look at the H5 stuff. A lot of the guidance shunted it east. I know why it did....but that was always sort of what I envisioned. Reggie caveats apply naturally this far out. That’s sort of a balance between lows feeding off of PVA and baroclinic processes in my mind, but I’m also not running complex atmospheric dynamics equations in my mind.
  24. CoastalWx
    Snowing now.
  25. CoastalWx
    Don't Jinx.
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