CoastalWx

Euro shows that too. Might mean a colder rain.

Merry Christmas to the weenies. May you all open up CJs and Benchmark storms.

The whole thing is just weird. Looks like it wants to be nina. No -NAO too on week 3. Week 4 has some. The look itself is pretty good, but the changes were interesting that’s all. Verbatim it would be good. Note: I’m not trying to bring weenies down lol.

I thought the weeklies were puzzling. They have a decent PNA, but the changes from Thursday were nina like. More SE ridging and cooler Canada. Almost wants to get back to gradient.

Looks like euro.

Glad we don’t live there.

That’s a nice CJ of yore on the op for like 36hrs.

Yeah somewhere from 12/31 -1/1 depending on what model you choose, has a decent look. Would be nice to get something and not have one of the worst months ever.

Of course I wish December were a 20” month, but it’s just not happening Kev. The 1970, 2007, 2098 etc of the world may work out...but overall I have a better chance of scoring in March. That goes for many. It’s how climo roles. So while Tip is talking about his bum bum feeling warm and dreams of scantily clad women in front of Fox hall Lowell, We track.

Right I get it, was more referring to Kevin’s expectations which you graciously bashed.

Your seasons in seasons doesn’t follow climo as much as you wish.

It’s cute seeing unrealistic expectations year after year.

We had some runner ups, but I think you’re right. Last year was close here and we had two close ones in 2013. One of them may have done it here. I’d have to go back.

Yeah was just agreeing. Better than December usually.

March is Most certainly winter.

Yeah. I’m sure it may not happen that quick, but after the cutter next week...it’s makkng steps in the right direction. Just be prepared for at least one more liquid scenario after the cutter and be reasonable....but it looks pretty good verbatim.

So the op has at least one maybe two events and the EPS has at least a few potentials. It also starts getting a kick ass look sooner than recent runs. Now of course the runs could go back and forth, but what I see seems to make sense to me.

Man this place is a cesspool. Good god.

Fake news when most have 2–12” on the season.

We, is speaking in general. There was no personal tone. Even though you told me to eff off, I still love me some Ginxy.

By the way, if one were to loop the northern hemisphere 500 anomalies, you’ll see how a gradual east shift in the ridging from EPAC to the coast of North America also shifts the trough east towards the East Coast. A very simple, but telling loop.

When we all agree, it should tell you something. By saying agree, it means you have a team of Mets in the same page and hopefully some people can have confidence in what is being posted. I say that all the time when I agree with ideas. I said that to Ray yesterday.

ACATT

I joke around, but when I see some really bad posts...it’s all systems go.

So a few weeks ago I remember saying post 12/25 for a better look. Indeed we have a better look vs the last few weeks, but I also said the nuances in the flow just cannot be determined so we broad brush it by saying better look. I think some meant all systems go. When people like Kevin keep ignoring all the well thought out posts and throw shit against the wall with things like “no cutter” and “12/20 onward for change,” it misinforms people. The fact of the matter is we have forcing for a building -EPO, but as Will and I said....the cold may dump west first and form warmer solutions for us. That’s what is happening. However, both ensembles and op runs have wintry chances until we get more of a +PNA. So while we may have a cutter or two, we will have some winter moments hopefully. I wasn’t kidding with 2014 analogy. It does seem like we have a better look after the first week of Jan.