CoastalWx

Come on HRRR

He wants it bad and it’s killing him that south of concord is getting nailed. #weknow

Dendy wants his dendies. You’ll get them.

Nice shot there

Eye roll

It was tighter swinging vortmax in. A little better than 6z. Pillaging over the waters, but it’s darn close to these parts.

There are two parts right now. The stuff in SE MA has been modeled well and it’s just a continued strong Northeast flow from 850 on down to the surface here. It’s been pouring all morning here. The area up north in New Hampshire, is more frontogenesis. This is the area that I was saying may need to be watched from Ray on down to perhaps northern Connecticut. Someone will get dumped on for sure.

Yep, nice post Wiz. That's what I'm keeping an eye on. N/M QPF stuff.

It's difficult to resolve. Basically models have to nail where this secondary cyclogenesis occurs and then the complex interactions of the s/w rounding the trough will help dictate where it goes. At the same time as the midlevels start to close off and deform to the NW, the snow develops and spreads in. That's why guidance is all over the place. We have some favorable things going like good 850 inflow and WAA, mid levels closing off etc. But it may be a tight cutoff from the gentle 2-3" stuff that falls over hours, vs an uber band that will certainly be just offshore.

You'd want the low a little more S before it retros in.

It's easily possible. We are basically banking on retrogression of these lows with a baroclinic zone very far offshore as it is.

Uncle is not too impressed.

39 now. Slow tick down. CF probably will stall near me. Looks like it's down in Quincy.

GFS looks sweet again tomorrow. Maybe a hair west of 6z.

Good luck Jay. Best wishes bud.

Nice dude. Glad you aren't disappointed.

Looks like it yeah.

Pounding sheet rains and 40. Man what a storm if it were all snow.

Might have to watch for a weenie fronto band from about Ray to Kevin later on before this consolidates. It's been on guidance.

Reggie looks west of 6z.

They’ll get over 30” near Albany. Making up for the screwjies.

Should be some snow for Luke. Decent band there.

NAM is sweet here.

CF just north of Boston.