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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    Mesos with a bit of a shift east this morning. From a dynamics standpoint, I hope the storm ends up a bit west than that and stronger.
  2. mob1
    So pretty. Over 1.5" so far and we'll see what we'll get tonight.
  3. mob1
    While we're reminiscing, I really liked earthlight and wish he still posted here.
  4. mob1
    This looks pretty good. If we can get the low just a tad west and the precipitation field more expansive we can pick up a few inches from it.
  5. mob1
    An inch here and 12.8" for the season. Nice pleasant surprise, I wasn't expecting anything.
  6. mob1
    I meant the outcome. It's getting really close to the event to hope for additional noteworthy shifts, but I guess anything is possible.
  7. mob1
    NAM is terrible for Sunday. Looks like NW areas get hit pretty good on Saturday and Sunday is a miss. Ah well, at least someone should getting some snow on Saturday.
  8. mob1
    Still ends up sliding pretty far east with that GL low acting as a kicker.
  9. mob1
  10. mob1
    It completely misses us on Saturday, so hopefully it has something on Sunday.
  11. mob1
    I'm pretty sure it's actually closer (both OP and EPS) at 18Z, but either way it still misses.
  12. mob1
    I'm hugging the RGEM so hard that it has difficulty breathing.
  13. mob1
    It is what it is. It's been fairly obvious since this morning that this threat is DOA (but God forbid someone mentions it, they get jumped on like common criminals).
  14. mob1
    Euro OP looks terrible
  15. mob1
    CMC Ooooops, that's 0Z
  16. mob1
    Ridge out west looks better, but it's holding back too much energy and heights out ahead are lower. It could always be a timing thing, but if I was a betting man I would put money that it's not going to be a notable improvement this run.
  17. mob1
    Hopefully we'll get something on the tail end of the cold snap.
  18. mob1
    In the final few frames everything moves NE, it seems like that lakes low acts as a kicker (as opposed some of the crazy GFS runs where it actually phased in and pumped heights out ahead).
  19. mob1
    Has some potential here, though the lead wave robbing some energy plus the base of the trough not being quite neutral yet might shunt the best dynamics east when it matters most.
  20. mob1
    Far far far cry from what it showed yesterday, and as much as it sucks the evolution of this storm actually makes a lot of sense. There's a potent closed low and by looking at H5 without anything else it looks sexy, but by the time the dynamics come into play it's far to late for us (which is often the case) and favors areas well to our NE. On the bright side, even some mood snow would be welcome after the recent warmup.
  21. mob1
    While closed at 500mb and a bit west, the trough is also a bit broader and the shortwave out in front robs the best dynamics. It's largely a whiff.
  22. mob1
    Nice snow shower at my parents house (in Airmont NY)
  23. mob1
  24. mob1
    It's a total whiff but very intriguing aloft
  25. mob1
    Fun look on the Euro in fantasy range. Has a good PNA spike before it collapses a bit due to another shortwave crashing into the PNW (part of the same PAC flow issues we've been dealing with for a few years) but there's all kinds of potential here (verbatim it all comes together well to our NE).
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