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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. Nothing today. Given the flat terrain and lack of rivers that flood, NYC generally only floods with very heavy rates that produce flash flooding. Hours of light to moderate rain won't do anything.
  2. While wind and surge will likely be confined to eastern LI, we could have a formidable flooding event for other parts of the area. Slow moving tropical systems are trouble, we just need to hone in to where the heaviest rains will set up.
  3. I think Westfield MA got close to 20 inches of rain.
  4. While people like to hype the wind and surge aspect, for a decaying slow moving storm that's relatively small in size, flooding is by far the biggest potential issue.
  5. Icon with a hard hook left into NE and stalls a bit between RI and eastern LI.
  6. The second recon pass does seem to be a bit north of the first one, though tropical storms don't move in a straight line to it's not enough to determine a trend. First pass had the center at 29.34 n and second at 29.38 n.
  7. GFS is quite a bit east so far
  8. HWRF now takes Henri into Nantucket as well. It'll change a million times but it definitely looks a lot more interesting than yesterday.
  9. Confirmed tornado now over Waverly.
  10. Insane flash flooding here now, some of the heaviest rain I've ever witnessed (heavier than anything yesterday locally)
  11. * At 635 PM CDT/535 PM MDT/, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 14 miles southeast of Sidney, moving northeast at 20 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
  12. I think they meant "a few supercells evolving into upscale growth"
  13. It's not so little with all that moisture moving due north
  14. While this video is definitely inconclusive, it's kind of odd how stubborn they are about issuing a TW for this storm. It's been close to the ground on multiple occasions.
  15. First Tornado Warning of the day near Susank KS. The storm to it's west (near Hays) is an absolute beast of a cell and is dropping some huge hail at the very least.
  16. The cell near Hays could really use a TW now. Edit; it looks a bit broader now but from what I'm seeing in Twitter it likely produced a brief tornado.
  17. And the run coming out now (16Z) has quite a few cells across KS later.
  18. 15 percent hatched tornado contour added to the morning update. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
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