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Jonathan

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Everything posted by Jonathan

  1. Unrelated, but how absolutely incredible is this? The NAO is a living being and it knows EXACTLY when meteorological winter begins. It's like someone flips the POSITIVE switch literally at 12am on 12/1. Unreal.
  2. Ended the "event" with about an hour and a half of sleet to sleet/snow to all snow. Got a nice little coating on the decks, cars and dirt. Temp got down to 33. Neat little early November treat.
  3. Maybe so, but the EPS (and GEFS) paints a not-terrible pattern after day 10 with some -NAO action. So at least maybe we don't torch. Yet.
  4. Looks like some more returns trying to form to the SW. Are you in Stuart for the storm or do you live there? I just left from there in that heavy band.
  5. 31F / TD 28 Heavy snow the last hour, already a good coating of 1/2"
  6. Anyone have access to the 6z EURO? @griteater ?
  7. Thanks for the reply! (And wait a sec, are you with NWS Blacksburg?!) I may have to chase to Roanoke or Vinton for this one! Also, the EURO is in and it's bone dry. Cuts a lot of totals almost in half. 3k NAM is dry, 0z GFS was dry, now 0z EURO is dry. Lot of local news outlets with some big 5-10" and 6-12" numbers. I'm afraid they may be in trouble. Hate these "dropping out of the Rockies" systems. Rather have the bowling ball coming out of Baja and into the Gulf.
  8. Beautiful run by the Canadian, but isn't it usually too cold/snowy? Especially in the upper levels?
  9. Yeah I fear some may see .25-.50" of ice somewhere, perhaps even here.
  10. Wow, the GFS is really, really dry.
  11. Curious to see your and @Disc thoughts for SWVA on this. Gonna be a headache to find the SN/IP/ZR lines between Roanoke and southside. On another note, the 12k NAM takes the foothills from snow to ice, then back to snow as the coastal takes over. Is that scenario even plausible?
  12. I give up on anything coming down and out of the Rockies. Unless it's a baja low that traverses the waters of the GOM, I'm not interested.
  13. Where have you gotten the 18z (or even the 12z) FV3? TT and PW are both stuck at 6z for the FV3.
  14. Don't you put that voodoo on us, grit! Hopefully not too far north with the 50/50 and a 1040+ (?) HP dropping in!
  15. The ICON HAS to be too warm with a 1040-1041 HP in a beautiful spot. 32F line runs right along the VA/NC border. It has this problem with the December storm too, IIRC.
  16. Brandon do you think north of I-40 has a decent shot to stay all snow or do we mix? Would really love to see another Miller A but a B/hybrid would mix a lot of folks. Also, both GFS models continue bringing the goods with southern storm after southern storm and big Canadian HPs dropping down every few days. Fun times ahead?
  17. Mother nature doesn't care who "wins" in snowfall. Signed, I got 16" today. You guys can have the next one, unless it's on Christmas, in which case we'll take that one too and you guys can have the next one...
  18. Merry Christmas from goofy! 384hr GFS has snow on Christmas Day.
  19. 25/22 and still just freakin' RIPPIN' here in southern VA. All dry snow, medium flakes, winds of 8-15mph just an amazing system. Measured 10" at 10am, gotta be 12-14" by now because it's been heavy snow ever since.
  20. Yeah I thought the NAM done great. RDU coming out pretty good! Congrats Brick and others!
  21. 25 F TD 22F +SN Measured between 8-10" an hour ago, probably 10-12" now and just ripping!
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