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Jonathan

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Everything posted by Jonathan

  1. Jonathan
    Agreed, but question. Does the kuchera ratio not take those variables into its output?
  2. Jonathan
    Wow, yeah. SREF is juicy. Probably the most juiced run its had.
  3. Jonathan
    Well the 6z GFS was one of the better runs we've had. Low closer to the coast, precip shield further west.
  4. Jonathan
    *crickets* Turn the lights out and close down the thread, this one's over. Goodnight, Irene!
  5. Jonathan
    Comforting words will be needed ASAP.
  6. Jonathan
    Same! We need a good old fashioned southern slider then a turn up the coast to give the Raleigh guys a shot too. I always root for everyone, but when it comes down to it, everyone wants it in their own backyard.
  7. Jonathan
    I wouldn't rule out a tick more than token flakes for us, Frosty! Watch this thing jog NW tomorrow.
  8. Jonathan
    The precip shield on the models is still baffling me. Straight up razor blade cutoff with copious GOM moisture and some orographic lift east of the mtns. Does not compute lol.
  9. Jonathan
    Yes.
  10. Jonathan
    Why do the Pivotal maps look so different from TT maps? Precip is doubled on pivotal it looks like.
  11. Jonathan
    Gotcha, thanks yoda! Anyway, to get back on topic, for those in western NC into southern VA (I-85 / I-77 corridors), do any models have a known sort of bias for not having enough precip on the western side of storm systems? Can't remember ever looking at a radar with a razor-edged cutoff on any side of a storm system. Even if precip is lighter (this isn't a huge system after all), I would think these areas would have a better shot at an all-snow event.
  12. Jonathan
    Think I'll stay up for the EURO to crush my dreams. Where do you guys go to view the UKMET? The meteocentre site I have only goes out to 72 hours. Doesn't it go out to 120?
  13. Jonathan
    At this rate, we won't have a clue till Friday morning. I've seen plenty of flip flopping with models before, but this is the worst. And for such an insignificant system. Oy. Something just doesn't look right with the NAM here. Two GL lows? The 500mb setup looks weird.
  14. Jonathan
  15. Jonathan
    It did
  16. Jonathan
    GFS BAYBEEEEE!!!!
  17. Jonathan
    What's with this precip gap in the NAM? This is just cruel. Supernatural powers at hand here.
  18. Jonathan
    EURO, you have betrayed me. Someone hold me.
  19. Jonathan
    Here's Webber's first call for those interested.
  20. Jonathan
    You throwing out the EC/UK/CMC, CR? The GFS is the only model squashing this thing ATM.
  21. Jonathan
    Figured it out. I had no idea your attachments got saved to your member profile. Now I have to go in and delete 127 attachments one by one with the board going up and down.
  22. Jonathan
    Never forget. P.S. Why does the post attachment size change at random?
  23. Jonathan
    Hell, at this rate, GSO might miss out too.
  24. Jonathan
    "Taking a blend" is a cop out. Someone put out a REAL forecast.
  25. Jonathan
    VA BEEN up in here since 18z yesterday, fam!
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