Jonathan
-
Posts
1,466 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Jonathan
-
Euro was an absolute paste bomb for western NC all the way through SWVA. Roanoke VA 12" Martinsville 20" Greensboro 17" Hickory 20" Wilkesboro 20" Wake County 5-13" from SE to NW Charlotte 7-10" from SE to NW
-
I second this nomination!
-
12z FV3?
-
Meh, I get sleeted on too sometimes. If we lose the EURO this afternoon, it's officially worry time for real. Currently hugging the 3k NAM/RGEM/CMC/ICON...that's perfectly reasonable, right?!
-
Seriously though, are we still in this? I mean I'm further south than you but I still cant help but to feel it's slipping away. Guess for SWVA it's 3K NAM/ICON/RGEM vs 12K NAM and the globals?
-
dat 3K NAM tho
-
I'm just really depressed this morning. Going to call out of work and drink.
-
GFS ensemble is hundreds of miles south. Hundreds.
-
Eh, I think we'll like the outcome of the FV3 actually. It has a very long duration event.
-
We'll bathe in your NC tears come Monday. Enjoy your sleet.
-
Well that GFS run should drag you back to reality! Zero precip north of NC. Unreal.
-
I counted 5 negatives in there. I think 2 cancel each other out which leaves 1 negative, 1 undetermined and 1 positive. So everything's going according to plan. Except Brick's 6"+ Good deal. Hopefully the precip doesn't underperform like the NAM's massive fail out in OK/TX. That was absolutely brutal. Also the 850 temps are crazy borderline. Bet I sleet down here closer to the NC border.
-
Man, with a winter storm impending you CAN'T miss a few hours on this board. It's great though. So much info. I need a quick recap! @Buddy1987 @Disc we still in for this baby in SW VA?
-
Reading back on that...good Lord...absolutely terrifying. I think EVERYONE needs to go back and read that.
-
Couple of models now showing that...hope that's not a trend
-
R.I.P. to the entire 18z GFS suite, old and new. But damn if the FV3 isn't lookin' like a snack!
-
Much lighter precip in W NC and S VA this time around.
-
Dew points are 4+ degrees colder in a lot of places on the NAM
-
Of course the Euro is beautiful, but we still had north trends on the before rock-solid FV3 and the wishy washy Canadian. I don't like that all of a sudden we have this northern stream energy to throw a wrench in this deal. That's going to cause madness the next 48 hours.
-
Jonathan, your stormvista maps are way ahead of WxBell, how's it look across the border around and west of Martinsville? I see sleet creeping to the border on WxBell maps.
-
BURGER BOOM ENGAGE
-
You'd think it'd be better as we approach January when it takes over. I guess we wait til 5:00PM for frame hr102.
-
Good point, sir. I am guilty of "quickly" rushing through surface output rather than MSLP anomalies, etc.
-
You can say what you want Jeremy but the EURO was much further north and 4-5 degrees warmer across the board. It was 3am and I was squinting at a cellphone. Totals cut, temps higher, more phasing. It was "OK" but it wasn't pretty or a continuation of our "southern slider" it'd previously been showing.
-
I have a feeling that even I am gonna have mixing issues here across the border. ROA-DCA will end up jackpotting, you watch.
