CaryWx

14 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said:

How much pattern for my backyard? TIA

Asking for a friend?

16 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GFS pulled the rug out of course. I wouldn't expect anything less. When the Euro ain't showing the storms, don't go with the ones that are.

Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk
 

Have you seen the 12z euro and what it's showing?

Not to raise a debate about snowpack but I do read differing views on it.  I think the confusion though lies with what we think it does for us.  I for one see it's best benefit for our BL temps and maybe the 850s in some cases.  Other than that not a whole lot as you get higher into the atmosphere and steering currents.

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Are we still expecting a pattern change in mid December?

Just add salt...

1 hour ago, Shack said:

Looking for Grit's thoughts.  Always a good read.

This.

Looks like we actually project to be below normal with this pattern for several weeks into Sept.  Things could change of course.

Pattern will not go back to hot looks like

Upcoming HUGE Cool Down! Fall Like Pattern to DOMINATE, Very Stormy also -

May hit the low 60s overnight this weekend in the NC Triangle.

'bout time

So much for the supposed to be below-average forecast for my area between the 15th and 22nd

3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Right, it's tough to get good sampling of the sun being 27 million degrees and all 

Cloudy days or something

Looks like the sun-angle data finally got ingested.

Definitely something still there around 27th.  Still need to see a few more runs.  Going to be awfully warm leading up to it though

25 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

GFS getting some company on that island 

GFS was beginning to build a Gilligan raft and sail away on the 12z I thought

54 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

RAH

If that's RAH it's the same from discussion 24hrs ago.

19 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Anyone have the 18z gefs

26 minutes ago, SteveRDU said:

Lol it’s only Tuesday. Literally an eternity left until gametime.

Maybe, but lots of player injuries showing up already.

Has to be associated with the clipper system coming earlier maybe?

That's an odd bird snow map

Looks clipperish which is what RAH alluded to earlier

8 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Look at the last frame of the 500MB Vorticity of the 12z UK

 It looks like it was about to deliver a big storm for Super Bowl Sunday.

You mean this one?

4 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

GFS goes back to back for NC Super Bowl fun and games!  Not a huge one but perhaps getting RDU to climatological average if 2.5-3” is verified.

Yes, nice look at 160hrs+    I'll take it 

Good thing nobody opened a storm thread. 

31 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

That's almost painful to look at.

Just now, eyewall said:

Yeah but gaining support slowly. The Mean has a storm now with wintry precip. We are still a good distance from the event for sure.

Doesn't sounding for rdu support a longer period of ip

9 minutes ago, eyewall said:

The GEFS definitely showing more of signal on this run as well. The Op run has 6-8 hours of ZR for the Triangle.:

Not a lot of ensemble support.  Lots of pretty dry panels