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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. I'm thinking worse case the Triangle changes over to heavy sleet in the middle briefly maybe and finishes back off with more snow.
  2. Yeah, got that weird feeling here. A lot of gametime left.
  3. Yes but you would expect its ensemble 'spread' to consolidate as we get closer as well. So range of ops 'jumping' becomes noise
  4. Yeah, that shift NW this early? Sometimes gets us warm nosed in the Triangle
  5. Aligns with what nws krdu has in their forecast. My location may not turnover to all zr until 10am tomorrow morning
  6. What is that a snapshot of? euro?, eps? a single ensemble?
  7. Yeah, all that pushing and shoving. Hope you didn't hurt anybody
  8. Really good pick up of the cold wedge. Not sure how much precip type is valid but the look is classic
  9. Will 18z euro line up more with the 18z UK? That would mean something
  10. Any chance these precip amounts are overdone. Maybe way overdone?
  11. We need deeper (vertical) cad in our area and need it to hold as long as possible. Looks to be happening (slightly) on this latest run
  12. Waiting on better locked in hires stuff to assist forecasting where all this sets up and for how long for precip types.. Really tough to make those calls attm.
  13. Also/Or a lot of misty long game freezing drizzle too Brick. The no bueno stuff
  14. Don't trust the NAM precip fields out that far.
  15. We're down to dropsondes. Geez this is sad
  16. It's by itself now isn't it? Especially with backside snow
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