CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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"While we do not issue explicit forecasts of winter weather potential at this lead, it would seem prudent to note that the forecast circulation pattern would favor an enhanced chance of winter storm events east of the Appalachians, including the major population centers of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, especially later in the period."---That's about as good as you will get from them to signal snow chances even for our (NC/SC) respected areas
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I suspect we'll know before then. Closer to NYE
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East based US which is what we want. Other indicators are starting to point to this as well I understand
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What's considered a more solid number of members to be a high confidence in the forecast? Thinking 32-40??
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Grit, Sometimes from what I've read we need the SSW to benefit NA though right, and not Europe or Asia. Some of those weeklies were showing Canada getting the cold though I think
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Thanks
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Are there any NC maps out there with totals from last week's storm. I could not find one on NOAA yesterday
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Agree Falls. Just would like to build a fire
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In NC?
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Yep. Let's see if it stays there in a stronger STJ year. Cold suppression of a system would not be what I think happens very much in a mod. el nino
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Sounds plausible. Uptick last week of Dec maybe
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WS, Does it bring any moisture back north tonight?
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Wonder if any of this is going to break back north into the Triangle tonight as potentially modeled
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Back to sleet now in my area with some snow
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This precip is moving from north to south I noticed. Pushing down out of Va is seems
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EG didn't say. Just showed their model forecast. You'll need to watch it on WRAL site
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WRAL calling for potential of 2-4 inches in Triangle until around lunch before changing back to rain and temps plummet after sundown. May see some more light snow tonight but not definite on that yet.
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Our temps are decent. Went from 32 down to 30 in last hour
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Moderate to almost heavy snow now
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Look to go to a warmer zonal flow for week of 16th I believe. Maybe we catch this snow around Christmas during transition back to a colder regime
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Snowing in Cary now
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That's got some real estate to cover in a short period of time
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Have a hard time believing we will get more than about 2' in Wake but like was posted earlier ULL's can do some odd things
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Is that the 850 coming over northern Ala?
