CaryWx

Frosty el nino (modoki style) calls for our cold to be more continental based. Not Siberian or Polar. Given that, northern plains and Canada cold is plenty. We need blocking (-nao) though.

For the first few seconds there I thought we had the geico lizard holding a camera.

Are there many trees down there?

WxWatcher, You still have power?

4.4" in Cary in last 48hrs

Is there a good link to get rainfall totals by town or area for what has occurred so far?

Thanks WxWatcher

WxWatcher, You're in a hotel

WxWatcher, Do you still have power? The State and Progress Energy will need to get those crews into Lumberton to restore power later today or tomorrow latest before the river floods everything out on Monday or Tues and access is cut off for a week.

NWS just issued a flash flood warning through 3am now for much of east central NC. Was set to expire at 12:45am

Since the center of rotation has picked up speed (a very little) and now moving wsw instead of just w, it looks like there is some reduction in precip across northern wake county, but very little

Oh ok. Lumberton is pretty much solidly without power I believe.

What is LBT?

Is there not going to be a 6pm (hrly) plot update from the NHC? Is it discontinued since it is a TS overland now?

Has the center of circulation passed in SC yet? No eye anymore

Just got my first decent breezy gusts at 6pm. Seem to becoming more frequently now though.

NWS warning only has 25-35mph sustained with gusts to 50mph for Wake and I be that is just for southern part

Good news here is those river basins are way way below their levels when Matthew hit so they can (for awhile) absorb the downpours.

The eye is coming up on the continental shelf now so that will churn up the cooler water from underneath (good) but also set up the velocity and torque in the storm surge & waves (bad) to hit the coast.

957mb down to 953.8mb is not good for us land people and our stuff phish

Thanks Stephen. The wind gusts tend to come in gales or at least with Fran they did. The intervals were not consistent that I recall but the winds tended to well up and get louder as the gale got closer. You would hear crashing or tree limbs snapping. The gale was then upon you for a minute or so. Then it would die down again while you waited for the next one. Like some twisted chinese water torture you just hoped the next one that came was not stronger and put a tree on your home. This went on for agonizing hours. Night time was the worst

Does anyone have a link to the latest power outage projection map for NC? Thanks

Sorry...What is IR?

Dave, We get about 9 weeks of "seasonal" winter in the Triangle. ~11 weeks of spring ~11 weeks of fall ...and about 21 weeks of summer. [Some of it really hot and humid] =52

Hope this is not what is modeled. Hugging the HPC forecast now.