Question on the MJO folks. Does it ever take a straight dive across the COD from say 4 to 8 (or even 1) like we see it projected to go from 8 back across the COD the other way.
It's difficult to read long lead 'potential' positives when it is now Jan 1st.
So it sounds like we have virtually zero chances of a cold regime, let alone any snow before say MLK day right?
Tough around here for the heart of winter.
I can't believe the 2 week outlooks for most of north america east of the rockies right now considering we are heading into what should be the dead of winter.
Some of those 384 global looks actually do have Egypt in the real cold. I thought you were kidding when you posted "Congrats Egypt..." or whatever it was last week.
Not sure if this still holds but the NWS prediction of below normal temps and above normal precip. from Jan 7th thru 18th is still solid I would think.
I know this is not my sub forum but you guys are in the cross hairs from the 5th thru the 18th per NOAA today. They uncharacteristically literally spelled it out in their weeklies. Why the gloom?