CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Lining up with UKMET?
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Yeah, that's why I put the axe head icon in there.
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Who's this newbie?
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Back off about half that zr accrual (convert to sleet?) and I'm all in.
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Obiwan, To add to NorthHills comments... The major models are now showing a decent influx of low level cold air into the triangle for next Mon-Weds with precip in the picture. Lots of flux here with each iteration and interval of model output but there seems to be more of a narrowing on this timeframe for something (sleet/ice) significant to occur early next week. As for the upcoming weekend (right now) that system will likely be more of a hinderance north and west of Cary. Just my 2 cents
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boatload of sleet for the triangle next tues this gsf run...and yes still zr too.
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In the next 84hrs Bull?
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.30 eh? You risk some 18th century living experiences with that.
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GEFS might tell a better story here
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540 lines in far different places
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Hard to buy those temps but even if they are 5-7 degrees warmer it's still really chilly
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If there is ever an anticipation for the euro ensembles it is this afternoon.
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I'd trim that freezing rain to .20" for a nice winter wonderland look that likely still keeps your heat running.
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If we are to get a decent storm (NC) my hunch is it will not be this weekend but mid next week as has been hinted at back-and-forth forth for some time now on various modeling.
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You've had some decent hits up that way haven't you? I think you'll get a few more
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That's worked so well for us here in the Triangle all winter. Cold rain with some annoying mixing. Rinse and repeat.
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Looking to see if these LR models align more to eventual reality around the 4 day mark. So far your theory for this year's winter and LR model performance seems to be spot on
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I dunno...just sometimes...
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Thanks Dave
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Feb 20th?? How much through Feb 15th?
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Don't think it did.
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You may be on to something here. If so the behavior seems to be following suit with these latest runs. If there is some correction at the 4-day mark, back to an equilibrium of sorts I sense a 33 and rain for a lot of NC next weekend with perhaps a little ice/sleet to the north and western sections of NC and upstate SC. [w/snow in mtns of course] Been the theme here all winter. - "Look kids! Big Ben, Parliament!"
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Not sure I like the sound of that down here in piedmont caroline
