The fact models seem to have this event next Wednesdayish and place it anywhere from below NC (miss) to up into Va (rain) is about the best we can hope for at this range given the model mayhem this season.
Thanks Grit.
It's the NW artic flow I was referring to. Have a good feeling the blocking may stick around
BTW, your snow forecast was pretty much spot on for my location in Cary.
I might be reading it wrong but looks like retreating cold all morning on Sunday into 1pm. Basically the regular warm up of the day. Unless it stops/holds past that last timeframe it's retreating right?
The jinx factor is still out there for Thurs storm
That said we are beginning to track a second system for Sunday and that will bleed over since something (even if not much) will certainly come of the Thurs event now for NC
Not a great look for accumulating snow in the Triangle. Also, those temps are for 7am in the morning. (Essentially the overnight low) Need to see frz/below frz temps in middle of the day.
Maybe after 18z models come in or better yet after next 00z (27th) runs. Let's see who bites where. Cannot go on like this with so much differentiation