CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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1"-2"s now projected for Cary. snow->rain->snow on back end
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Just slide that whole purpleish blob about 30miles east and I'd been in one heck of a dropzone.
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stock ticker methodology
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Will we ever have the technology to accurately and reliably forecast this? Find me a met who can absorb and analyze the data, plus using institutional knowledge of weather-forecasting in this region finger point these areas for me on a map 72hrs in advance and we'd have ourselves a real keeper. Of course I believed in Santa Claus probably way later into youth than most of you. But that was back in the early 70s when I'm sure longer range weather forecasting demands were quite less stressful
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Kind of surprised at the limited number of watch/warning/advisory counties in NC, SC & GA with this coming system. Thought it would be a bit more expansive
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How good is the RGEM at 42hrs? Looks decent for the Triangle.
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Looking like both GFS and Euro bring some goods to KRDU. Not bad at this range
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I've been sucker punched last minute by the SREF before
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God love those ale drinking colonial mapmakers?
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Well some guy on here is from "Central, SC" and that's in the far western part of his state.
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This is actually a better run for the CMC considering where it's been right?
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Hope that neutral tilt doesn't get pulled more north than before
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Should be getting some RAOB data on the wave in next 12hrs I would guess.
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I'm seeing further north but not much
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We're going to struggle with BL temps in the Triangle
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Trying not to get too up or down on precip. totals attm. Figure it's too early. Feature tracking is key right now
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Thanks Grit. Can you tell us what the track of the 850 ULL is looking like? Is it an Atlanta-Columbia-Virginia Beach run here?
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Reading in other places and from mets not to expect much (snow) with this system in NC outside the mtns.
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I wouldn't put too much stock into NAM precip. forecasts until about 36-48hrs out.
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look like euro carrying it further south than the gfs?
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is this system trending in faster?
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Need to pop that surface LP off Savannah or better yet Jacksonville, FL. Off Charleston is not bad but just out of reach for mby
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Roxboro in there for sure. They get the goods even on marginal close events such as these two
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Was not really expecting a prior to Jan15th to be "our" storm(s) in the Triangle. More just the set-up. Holding out more expectation for something between the 15th & 25th as Eric alluded to a couple days ago.
